Rank 5 on the docket, and the first item this arc whose expected outcome is
LOSING capability.
conservative_floor is a one-sided Wilson lower bound, and Wilson assumes
independent trials. CORE's pipeline is deterministic, so replaying an identical
case is not a second trial — it is the same trial with a guaranteed outcome.
The deduction sealer folded the raw practice corpus and counted every replay,
so bands recorded 720/720 committed whether that was 720 decisions or 28
decisions seen 26 times each. conservative_floor(720,720)=0.990868 cleared
theta_SERVE=0.99; conservative_floor(28,28)=0.808413 is not close.
RESULT: 25 licensed bands -> 4. Twenty-one demoted.
Survivors: en_conditional_chain, en_disjunctive, en_verb_fact,
en_verb_universal — the only bands whose corpus holds enough independent cases.
What the demotion did and did not do, stated exactly. NO ANSWER CHANGED. No
answer became wrong. `wrong` stayed 0 across all 25 bands. The engine is
exactly as correct as it was. What changed is the CLAIM attached to the answer:
21 bands now serve the same sound conclusion prefixed with "(reasoned, but I
haven't yet earned a verified track record on arguments of this shape)". The
reasoning did not get worse; the boast did.
The producer is hardened, which is the half that stops this recurring.
seal_ledger now refuses outright — assert_sealed_evidence_distinct compares the
ledger about to be written against the corpus's distinct-case count and raises
BEFORE anything is written. The curriculum sealer has carried this guarantee
since ADR-0264 R9; the deduction sealer had no equivalent, which is exactly how
the exposure arose. Catching it at seal time rather than in an audit matters:
an audit finds a padded ledger after it is committed, trusted, and gating a
live flag, and unwinding that then needs a ruling — it needed one.
A HOLLOW GUARD OF MY OWN, caught by sabotage rather than trusted. The first
version compared all_gold_problems() with distinct_gold_problems() — two
functions that agree with each other by construction, and neither of which is
what build_ledger folds. Reverting build_ledger to the raw corpus walked
straight past it AND re-sealed the inflated artifact. Same defect class the
ledger already suffered: a guard checking something adjacent to the thing it
protects. It now takes the BUILT LEDGER as input, because the invariant is
about the artifact. Re-running the identical attack: refused, wrote nothing.
Pinned as test_sealer_refuses_a_ledger_that_counts_replays.
A SECOND MISS, caught by the gate rather than by me. My blast-radius scan
grepped for deduction_serve_license / deduction_serve_ledger / 720 and found
nine files. It missed tests/test_construction_inventory.py, which asserts
deduction SURFACE STRINGS and never mentions the ledger — so a pattern search
over the wrong noun could not see it. The full gate found it. Recorded because
"I scanned for the blast radius" is worth exactly as much as the scan's key,
and mine was the wrong key.
That test is the #138 fabrication defect pin, and it is updated WITHOUT being
weakened. Both surfaces now carry the disclosure prefix, and the fabrication
survives untouched — which is a sharper finding than before: a disclosure
prefix looks like it might cover the hazard, and it does not. The user is still
told they said "furthermore". Exact-match assertions kept on the full strings
so neither the fabrication nor the licence state can drift unnoticed, plus an
isolating assertion that the only difference between clean and leaked recitals
is the fabricated premise.
Four records corrected in the same PR, each of which would otherwise have gone
on asserting capability that no longer exists:
- CAPABILITY_LEDGERS' manifest note ("25 bands at 720/720 wrong=0")
- the published CLAIMS.md claim — caught immediately by G-22's own pin, which
is that fix earning its keep three days after landing
- test_volume_honesty.py's module docstring, which said the exposure was
"NOT silently repaired ... changing it is Shay's ratification, not a
test's". R-13 IS that ratification, so the line went stale by being acted on
- the exposure inventory's framing: it now pins the repair, not the gap
test_volume_honesty's sealed-vs-producer assertion is strictly stronger than it
was. It compared sealed committed counts to the producer's committed counts and
both were the inflated 720 — the assertion held perfectly while the number it
agreed on was the wrong number. Two records agreeing is not evidence that
either is right. It now pins committed == distinct, plus a non-vacuity check.
Nine tests encoded the unearned expectation and were updated to the honest one.
Closes G-19 and H-1.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Wcw2pnMBwyvmNyQg4uPEt4
Ratified by Shay 2026-07-24. Default flipped False -> True.
Evidence at ratification:
- 25 shape-bands, each holding SERVE at 720/720 wrong=0 on the SHA-sealed
ratified ledger (theta_SERVE=0.99, n >= 657 committed per band);
- deduction-serve lane 166/166 wrong=0 across six hand-authored splits;
- commit gate narrow by construction — a sentence-initial "therefore" IS an
argument, so the composer cannot claim turns that are not one;
- an unearned shape is still served DISCLOSED, never asserted.
Blast radius verified, not assumed: core test --suite deductive 268 passed
with the flag ON by default; a live default-config ChatRuntime decides real
English and existential arguments through grounding_source="deduction" while
ordinary turns still fall through to pack grounding; lane pins 10/11 match —
unchanged by the flip (the single miss is the pre-existing public_demo drift
documented for Tier S).
Rollback is flipping this back: flag-off remains byte-identical to pre-arc
dispatch and leaves no residue, pinned by
test_flag_off_preserves_pack_token_gloss_byte_identity.
curriculum_serving_enabled stays OFF — every curriculum band is unearned, and
the Sonnet brief now records the explicit bar for revisiting it.
Completes the all/no/some square. `some` is read for the first time:
"All mammals are vertebrates. Some whales are mammals. Therefore some
whales are vertebrates." is decided entailed; "All unicorns are horned.
Therefore some unicorns are horned." is decided unsettled, with the
no-existential-import reading disclosed in the surface.
Mechanism (generate/proof_chain/exist.py): v5-VP's per-individual
lowering over a domain widened by one Skolem witness per existential
premise and — the load-bearing part — one ARBITRARY element per
existential conclusion, at which every universal still instantiates and
about which no premise asserts anything. Refuting an existential means
deriving a universal, and the arbitrary element is what makes that
derivation genuine instead of an assumption of domain closure: without
it "Rex is a wolf. Rex is not tame. Therefore some wolves are tame."
reads as REFUTED from a domain of one wolf. With it, UNKNOWN.
Four `en_exist_*` bands earned SERVE at 720x wrong=0 on the first arena
seal (25-band ledger); the 32-case hand-authored v2_exist split passed
32/32 first run; full lane 166/166 wrong=0 across six splits.
Also fixes a wrong-answer path this work uncovered in Band v1b
(ADR-0261 §5.1): `to_syllogism` FILTERED premises it could not express
out of the projection and answered from the remainder, so "Aristotle is
a philosopher. All philosophers are scholars. Therefore some scholars
are philosophers." lost its only witness and was served "that doesn't
follow". It now refuses — matching its propositional sibling
`to_deductive_logic`, which always has — and the argument falls through
to the bands that can hold a singular fact. The categorical band
re-earned SERVE 720/720 after the change; both examples are pinned as
regression cases.
Promotion: `ds-mem-0020` declined -> unknown (ADR-0258's existential
scope-out, now read; an anonymous witness never transfers to a named
individual, so UNKNOWN is its honest verdict, not entailed).
[Verification]: core test --suite deductive 232 passed; reader tests
33/33; register+surface tests 52 passed; arena 25 bands x 720 wrong=0
(all SERVE); lane 166/166 wrong=0; lane SHAs 9/10 match (public_demo
drift is pre-existing on the base commit and unrelated — evidence in
the Tier-S brief).
Generalization arc Phase 1.1 (Tier F, docs/plans/generalization-arc-2026-07-24.md):
"All philosophers teach. Socrates is a philosopher. Therefore Socrates
teaches." now reads and decides — the ADR-0258 §6.3 verb-predicate
scope-out, and the reading gate for Phase 2's subject serving.
generate/proof_chain/verb.py extends v3-MEM's per-individual lowering with
a second atom family in one shared space: membership atoms (v3-MEM's own
parsers reused verbatim) + verb atoms (individual, verb-lemma-group,
object-term). Verb universals instantiate as mem(i,C) -> [~]verb(i), so a
copula-minted membership fact discharges a verb rule. The ONE new semantic
identification is closed 3sg agreement (verb-specific irregular table +
the three regular suffix rules — deliberately NOT the noun table, which
would misroute "lives"/"leaves"). Scope-tight segmentation: single-token
name/class/verb/object shapes only; everything longer refuses typed
(tense_out_of_band joins the closed reason vocabulary). Rendered by
render_entailment_verb (member surface, UNKNOWN scoping extended to the
verb reading). Rides deduction_serving_enabled (default off); pure
widening — every previously-served argument byte-identical, no existing
lane case changed outcome.
Earned: 4 en_verb_* bands x 720 arena wrong=0 (first seal), ledger resealed
at 21 bands; corpus soundness asserted against the independent truth-table
oracle over each template's intended lowering (15,120 cases, INV-25).
Lane: v2_verb 28 hand-authored real cases 28/28 first run; full lane
134/134 wrong=0 across five splits. Surgical single-line pin update +
CLAIMS regen.
Stacked on feat/generalization-phase0 (merge that first — shared
verify_lane_shas.py / CLAIMS.md / generate_claims.py lane-ADR mapping).
[Verification]: verb reader tests 34/34; deduction battery 86/86
(surface +5, e2e +1, lane +1) in-worktree; arena seal + oracle
cross-check green; smoke + warmed_session via pre-push gate.
Composes v2-EN's connective grammar (if/then, or, and, either) with
v3-MEM's singular-membership sentence reading over one shared
per-individual atom space, so "If Socrates is a man then Socrates is
mortal. Socrates is a man. Therefore Socrates is mortal." decides — the
exact gap ADR-0258 §6.1 reserved. Genuinely fuses the two mechanisms: a
bare universal's instantiated atom can unify (via the same closed
morphology relation) with a connective leaf's atom, deciding arguments
neither band alone could.
- generate/proof_chain/cond_member.py: new reader. A sentence is checked
for a connective token BEFORE the universal-lead check (so a stray
connective can never leak into an opaque name/class run); reuses v3-MEM's
own _parse_singular/_parse_universal verbatim (already negation-aware,
so no separate negation layer is needed, unlike v2-EN's opaque minter).
Four new shape-bands (fused/disjunctive/chain/conditional), each earning
its own SERVE license.
- chat/deduction_surface.py: new fallback tier tried strictly after v3-MEM
— pure widening, every previously-served argument stays byte-identical.
- evals/deduction_serve/practice/gold.py: 4 new synthetic template groups
(20 templates), reusing the v3-MEM case generator; intended formulas
cross-checked against the independent oracle (INV-25).
- evals/deduction_serve/v2_condmem/: 26 hand-authored real-English cases,
content-disjoint from the synthetic corpus.
- ds-mem-0024 promoted declined -> unknown (not entailed — the antecedent
is never asserted in that text; this is the first promotion in the
corpus that doesn't land on entailed).
- Ledger re-sealed to 17 bands; deduction_serve_v1 lane SHA re-pinned
(surgical single-line edit, not a blanket --update).
Verification: core test --suite deductive 160 passed (31 new reader
tests); practice arena 17 bands x 720 wrong=0, all SERVE-licensed; lane
splits v1 28/28, v2_en 26/26, v2_member 26/26, v2_condmem 26/26; smoke 180
passed; warmed_session 10 passed. Flag deduction_serving_enabled stays
default-off.
CORE now decides natural-English deductive arguments end-to-end:
'If it rains then the ground is wet. It rains. Therefore the ground
is wet.' -> ENTAILED, rendered over the user's own clauses. Both of
ADR-0256's documented boundary cases (multiword conditional, nested-
negation contraposition) are now decided; their lane gold updated
declined->entailed.
- generate/proof_chain/english.py (new): closed function-word grammar
over OPAQUE clause-atoms (minted ids); if/then, [either] or, and,
three negation forms (leading not / sentential / copular incl.
contractions); typed refusals; honesty caps. Soundness: positive
verdicts are substitution-closed; UNKNOWN is scoped + guarded
(quantifier-led, is-a membership, unnormalizable negation refuse
out of the opaque band).
- render_entailment_english: verdicts quoted back verbatim; UNKNOWN
phrasing explicitly scoped to the opaque reading.
- chat/deduction_surface.py: v2-EN fallback tier AFTER v1/v1b —
monotone widening, byte-identical on previously-served arguments.
- Four en_* shape-bands EARN SERVE via the ADR-0199 arena (720/band,
wrong=0, reliability 0.99087 >= 0.99); 9-band ledger re-sealed.
- evals/deduction_serve/v2_en: 26 hand-authored real-English cases
(content disjoint from the synthetic lexicon), wrong=0; report
re-pinned.
- realizer guard (ADR-0075): deduction surfaces exempt — quoted
templates are not slot-composed articulations (pack 'open'=VERB
was rejecting an honest quoted 'the door is not open'); pinned
cold+warm in e2e.
[Verification]: deductive 84 passed; smoke 180 passed; cognition 122
passed 1 skipped; arena 9x720 wrong=0 all SERVE; lanes v1 28/28,
v2_en 26/26.
core chat now decides Aristotelian syllogisms end-to-end -- the marquee
'basic logical work' widening. Closes Phase 0's fork: the ONLY categorical
decider was evals/syllogism/oracle.py (the sealed independence oracle serving
must not import; INV-25). This ships a production decider.
generate/proof_chain/categorical.py lowers a categorical argument to the
propositional regime (one Boolean atom per term-membership profile) and rides
the already-verified ROBDD engine -- no new decision procedure, soundness
inherits from the flagship. Sound AND complete for the modern/Boolean reading
(Darapti + existential-import-only forms correctly INVALID), with no reliance
on a lucky domain size. Independent of the eval oracle by mechanism (ROBDD-
over-profiles vs brute-force finite-model enumeration); proven by case-for-case
agreement with it across the whole syllogism gold lane.
New: generate/proof_chain/categorical.py, render_syllogism (deterministic
valid/invalid/inconsistent templates), CATEGORICAL shape-band, arena
categorical band (4 valid forms + 2 invalid, by-construction gold cross-checked
vs the independent syllogism oracle), tests/test_categorical_decider.py (8
tests incl. the independence-by-agreement proof).
Changed: chat/deduction_surface.py (categorical branch, license-gated via a
shared _license_gate helper; propositional path byte-identical), arena
DeductionSolver dual-path in lock-step with the composer, re-sealed ledger (5
bands, categorical earns SERVE at 0.99087 wrong=0), Phase-2 lane decide()
mirrors the dual path with the 3 categorical cases reclassified to their true
valid/invalid verdicts + 1 invalid case (n 27->28), report+SHA regenerated.
Honest wrinkles: irregular plurals ('fish') decline with unknown_morphology
(a reader limit, correctly not a wrong); surfaces read in singularized terms
('all whale are animal') -- the exact ids the engine reasoned over, no cosmetic
re-pluralization that could drift from the decision.
[Verification]: smoke 180 passed; cognition 122 passed/1 skipped; core test
--suite deductive 45 passed; test_categorical_decider 8 passed; practice
runner 5 bands all SERVE wrong=0; deduction_serve lane SHA regenerates to the
committed pin.
Wires the verified ROBDD entailment engine (generate/proof_chain,
716/716 wrong=0) into core chat serving. A propositional argument
('P1. P2. ... Therefore C.') is now comprehended, projected, and
decided end-to-end -- the first real working basic-logic workflow:
user question -> CORE decides -> articulated deterministic answer.
New: chat/deduction_surface.py (DEDUCTION composer, sibling to the
existing oov/narrative/example composer pattern), generate/proof_chain/
render.py (deterministic EntailmentTrace -> surface templates, no LLM),
tests/test_deduction_surface.py (15 tests incl. full propositional gold
corpus decided end-to-end across a multi-turn session, wrong=0).
Changed: core/config.py (deduction_serving_enabled flag, default off),
generate/intent.py (IntentTag.DEDUCTION, observability-only -- the core
classify_intent rule table is untouched so flag-off stays byte-identical),
chat/runtime.py (one flag-gated block in the existing pack/teaching/
partial/oov dispatcher).
Design notes (full detail in docs/research/deduction-serve-arc-phase1-
turn-spine-2026-07-23.md): the deduction check runs BEFORE generic intent
classification (never touches classify_intent's rule table) and BEFORE
the empty-vault gate (a live multi-turn probe caught turn-12 silently
falling through once the vault warmed -- pack/teaching/oov are cold-start-
only by design, deduction serving isn't). grounding_source='deduction' is
NOT registered in the closed, Workbench-coupled GroundingSource Literal
(cross-stack TS contract, inert for this arc's core-chat-only consumer,
documented as a deferred follow-up). Band v1 stays propositional-only --
categorical/syllogism arguments commit but honestly decline as
out-of-band; evals.syllogism.oracle is never imported (INV-25 intact).
[Verification]: smoke 180 passed; cognition 122 passed/1 skipped;
test_deduction_surface.py 15 passed; test_dispatch_trace.py +
test_oov_surface.py 26 passed; test_intent*.py 145 passed.