feat(evals,chat,tests): PR-12 — the Wilson re-count. 25 licensed bands become 4 (R-13)

Rank 5 on the docket, and the first item this arc whose expected outcome is
LOSING capability.

conservative_floor is a one-sided Wilson lower bound, and Wilson assumes
independent trials. CORE's pipeline is deterministic, so replaying an identical
case is not a second trial — it is the same trial with a guaranteed outcome.
The deduction sealer folded the raw practice corpus and counted every replay,
so bands recorded 720/720 committed whether that was 720 decisions or 28
decisions seen 26 times each. conservative_floor(720,720)=0.990868 cleared
theta_SERVE=0.99; conservative_floor(28,28)=0.808413 is not close.

RESULT: 25 licensed bands -> 4. Twenty-one demoted.

Survivors: en_conditional_chain, en_disjunctive, en_verb_fact,
en_verb_universal — the only bands whose corpus holds enough independent cases.

What the demotion did and did not do, stated exactly. NO ANSWER CHANGED. No
answer became wrong. `wrong` stayed 0 across all 25 bands. The engine is
exactly as correct as it was. What changed is the CLAIM attached to the answer:
21 bands now serve the same sound conclusion prefixed with "(reasoned, but I
haven't yet earned a verified track record on arguments of this shape)". The
reasoning did not get worse; the boast did.

The producer is hardened, which is the half that stops this recurring.
seal_ledger now refuses outright — assert_sealed_evidence_distinct compares the
ledger about to be written against the corpus's distinct-case count and raises
BEFORE anything is written. The curriculum sealer has carried this guarantee
since ADR-0264 R9; the deduction sealer had no equivalent, which is exactly how
the exposure arose. Catching it at seal time rather than in an audit matters:
an audit finds a padded ledger after it is committed, trusted, and gating a
live flag, and unwinding that then needs a ruling — it needed one.

A HOLLOW GUARD OF MY OWN, caught by sabotage rather than trusted. The first
version compared all_gold_problems() with distinct_gold_problems() — two
functions that agree with each other by construction, and neither of which is
what build_ledger folds. Reverting build_ledger to the raw corpus walked
straight past it AND re-sealed the inflated artifact. Same defect class the
ledger already suffered: a guard checking something adjacent to the thing it
protects. It now takes the BUILT LEDGER as input, because the invariant is
about the artifact. Re-running the identical attack: refused, wrote nothing.
Pinned as test_sealer_refuses_a_ledger_that_counts_replays.

A SECOND MISS, caught by the gate rather than by me. My blast-radius scan
grepped for deduction_serve_license / deduction_serve_ledger / 720 and found
nine files. It missed tests/test_construction_inventory.py, which asserts
deduction SURFACE STRINGS and never mentions the ledger — so a pattern search
over the wrong noun could not see it. The full gate found it. Recorded because
"I scanned for the blast radius" is worth exactly as much as the scan's key,
and mine was the wrong key.

That test is the #138 fabrication defect pin, and it is updated WITHOUT being
weakened. Both surfaces now carry the disclosure prefix, and the fabrication
survives untouched — which is a sharper finding than before: a disclosure
prefix looks like it might cover the hazard, and it does not. The user is still
told they said "furthermore". Exact-match assertions kept on the full strings
so neither the fabrication nor the licence state can drift unnoticed, plus an
isolating assertion that the only difference between clean and leaked recitals
is the fabricated premise.

Four records corrected in the same PR, each of which would otherwise have gone
on asserting capability that no longer exists:
  - CAPABILITY_LEDGERS' manifest note ("25 bands at 720/720 wrong=0")
  - the published CLAIMS.md claim — caught immediately by G-22's own pin, which
    is that fix earning its keep three days after landing
  - test_volume_honesty.py's module docstring, which said the exposure was
    "NOT silently repaired ... changing it is Shay's ratification, not a
    test's". R-13 IS that ratification, so the line went stale by being acted on
  - the exposure inventory's framing: it now pins the repair, not the gap

test_volume_honesty's sealed-vs-producer assertion is strictly stronger than it
was. It compared sealed committed counts to the producer's committed counts and
both were the inflated 720 — the assertion held perfectly while the number it
agreed on was the wrong number. Two records agreeing is not evidence that
either is right. It now pins committed == distinct, plus a non-vacuity check.

Nine tests encoded the unearned expectation and were updated to the honest one.

Closes G-19 and H-1.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01Wcw2pnMBwyvmNyQg4uPEt4
This commit is contained in:
Claude 2026-07-28 07:33:21 +00:00
parent 9b19085674
commit 9cf6a164d5
No known key found for this signature in database
11 changed files with 364 additions and 69 deletions

View file

@ -43,7 +43,7 @@ is a CI failure (`.github/workflows/lane-shas.yml`).
| ADR-0104 | `curriculum_loop_closure` | Curriculum-sourced proposals route through single reviewed teaching path | `evals/curriculum_loop_closure/results/v1_dev.json` | `cb94ca0042d78ec2624129ff6493d52e767b69feea32d2997b85d88f1c0883af` |
| ADR-0131 | `math_teaching_corpus_v1` | Math teaching corpus replays deterministically; all chains pass exit criterion (correct_rate=1.0, wrong=0) | `evals/math_teaching_corpus/v1/report.json` | `eaf160d145da29f9050ede8d58bf111b0f651dd40aeae9201857d0b97e014dd4` |
| ADR-0206 | `deductive_logic_v1` | Propositional entailment scored against an independent truth-table oracle; dev+holdout+external 716/716 correct, wrong=0, refused=0 | `evals/deductive_logic/report.json` | `97a230949016e38d5e3f37a69e4245b320575ee70e5af92ff7607f7b05f74b5f` |
| ADR-0256 | `deduction_serve_v1` | Flag-gated deduction serving decides real English/member/fused/verb/existential arguments end-to-end under earned SERVE licenses; wrong=0 across all splits | `evals/deduction_serve/report.json` | `c855d55cf316471fdfe092aa0d5c954e5ceb6f30c9a8db283e0b9a5d5e8b419a` |
| ADR-0256 | `deduction_serve_v1` | Flag-gated deduction serving decides real English/member/fused/verb/existential arguments end-to-end, wrong=0 across all splits; 4 of 25 shape-bands hold an earned SERVE licence on DISTINCT evidence (R-13 re-count, 2026-07-28) and the other 21 decide with disclosure | `evals/deduction_serve/report.json` | `c855d55cf316471fdfe092aa0d5c954e5ceb6f30c9a8db283e0b9a5d5e8b419a` |
| ADR-0262 | `curriculum_serve_v1` | Flag-gated curriculum serving answers exam questions from a subject's RATIFIED chain corpus only; untaught facts return UNKNOWN (anti-recall probes enforced), wrong=0 | `evals/curriculum_serve/report.json` | `d9e7ba500f040b865870413a940ee9a49910ac22e1a89c9feec1a60bdd2513f1` |
## Verification

View file

@ -1,42 +1,42 @@
{
"classes": {
"atomic": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 98,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"categorical": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 294,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"conditional_chain": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 294,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"conditional_single": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 294,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"disjunctive": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 294,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_atomic": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 474,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
@ -50,35 +50,35 @@
"wrong": 0
},
"en_conditional_single": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 474,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_condmem_chain": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 52,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_condmem_conditional": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 60,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_condmem_disjunctive": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 28,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_condmem_fused": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 60,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
@ -92,92 +92,92 @@
"wrong": 0
},
"en_exist_chain": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 28,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_exist_negative": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 28,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_exist_universal": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 46,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_exist_witness": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 35,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_member_atomic": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 60,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_member_chain": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 52,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_member_negative": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 52,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_member_single": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 60,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_verb_chain": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 308,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_verb_fact": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 660,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_verb_negative": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 308,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
},
"en_verb_universal": {
"correct": 720,
"correct": 660,
"refused": 0,
"t2_agrees_gold": 0,
"t2_verified": 0,
"wrong": 0
}
},
"content_sha256": "a056f899a47bbd4536e3141f47a9131c9058ab55f2e9567fdcb254145e2dc252",
"note": "Sealed-practice committed ledger for deduction serving (ADR-0256). Engine reads, never writes. Ceilings stay at safe defaults (theta_SERVE=0.99). A band earns SERVE by demonstrated pipeline reliability (reader+projector+engine) at volume >= 657 committed.",
"content_sha256": "8db89aed12aafb68625f4ee0ba994f91964775eef8f8f9e9f92c6ed030ecb1ed",
"note": "Sealed-practice committed ledger for deduction serving (ADR-0256). Engine reads, never writes. Ceilings stay at safe defaults (theta_SERVE=0.99). A band earns SERVE by demonstrated pipeline reliability (reader+projector+engine) at volume >= 657 committed. RE-COUNTED 2026-07-28 under R-13: one committed case per DISTINCT decision (case text), so committed == distinct evidence by construction. The prior seal folded the raw corpus and counted replays as independent trials, which the Wilson floor assumes they are not; 21 of 25 bands held SERVE licences their evidence never supported and are demoted here.",
"provenance": "evals.deduction_serve.practice.runner.seal_ledger",
"schema": "deduction_serve_ledger_v1"
}

View file

@ -95,7 +95,12 @@ CAPABILITY_LEDGERS: dict[str, LedgerSpec] = {
capability="deduction_serve",
path=_PROJECT_ROOT / "chat" / "data" / "deduction_serve_ledger.json",
missing_ok=False,
note="ADR-0256 — ships sealed; 25 bands at 720/720 wrong=0.",
note=(
"ADR-0256 — ships sealed; 25 bands, wrong=0. RE-COUNTED 2026-07-28 "
"(R-13): committed == DISTINCT evidence, so 4 bands hold a SERVE "
"licence and 21 decide with disclosure. The prior note said "
"'25 bands at 720/720', which counted replays as independent trials."
),
),
"curriculum_serve": LedgerSpec(
capability="curriculum_serve",

View file

@ -11,7 +11,7 @@
| **Track A — ADR-0252 §5 run to NO-GO**, criterion pre-registered, artifact + digest committed, **verdict ratified 2026-07-28** | PR-8 — a small ADR (H-3/G-20) · PR-10 — a refactor ADR (H-4) |
| PR-4 membership + reachability ratchets · PR-6 three doctrine pins · PR-7 M2 trust table · PR-9 count-the-swallow · **PR-5 the flag register (R-3+R-4)** | PR-12 — an ADR **amendment** (R-13 authorizes it; the amendment is still owed) |
| PR-3 + PR-3b (**R-7**, Wave 1) · **PR-11 the soak to committed evidence (R-9+R-2)** · H-13 · H-8e · G-22 · G-23 | Track B — the fabrication ADR (standing instruction, unchanged) |
| **Closed:** G-5, G-6, G-7, G-8, G-9, G-15, G-22, H-6, H-7, H-8 (**all five**), H-11, H-13 · **Answered:** G-1 · **Discharged:** H-10 · **Pinned:** G-23 | Track C — invention, deliberately last |
| **Closed:** G-5, G-6, G-7, G-8, G-9, G-15, G-19, G-22, H-1, H-6, H-7, H-8 (**all five**), H-11, H-13 · **Answered:** G-1 · **Discharged:** H-10 · **Pinned:** G-23 | Track C — invention, deliberately last |
**New this arc, not in the original assessment:** **N-8** (the §5 experiment had already returned GO twice, on unmerged branches, both unsound), **N-9** (the gate "drift" was a recorded decision — PR-4's pin 1 **withdrawn** rather than built, R-14 dissolved), **G-21** (the math reader decides **1.0%** of `holdout_dev/v1`), **G-22** (`main` was red before the arc, and `CLAIMS.md` published a superseded evidence digest for two days), **H-13**, **H-14**, **H-8e**.
@ -218,7 +218,7 @@ The packet's original order was by register number. That is the wrong axis: it i
| 2 | ~~R-7~~ | ~~Register supersession~~ | — | **EXECUTED** — PR-3 + PR-3b, landed 2026-07-28. Listed so the order stays readable. |
| 3 | ~~**R-3 + R-4**~~ | PR-5 — the flag register, all 32 booleans classified, profiles as units, the bidirectional pin, `accrue_realized_knowledge` into the daemon profile | **M** | **EXECUTED 2026-07-28.** Closed **G-6, G-8, H-6, H-8(c), H-8(d)** — and **H-8 in full**. The N-6 docstring correction **dissolved**: the docstrings were right and the code was incomplete. **Wave 4's hard gate is lifted.** |
| 4 | ~~**R-9 + R-2**~~ | PR-11 — the soak re-run at 5000 beats under the **corrected** profile, artifact committed, digest pinned, cadence enforced by a source-hash pin, H1H4 on the gate | **M** | **EXECUTED 2026-07-28.** Closed **G-5**. R-2 landed in the contract *before* the re-run, as designed. The staleness pin **would have caught PR-5** — verified by sabotage. |
| 5 | **R-13** | PR-12 — distinct-evidence counting at the seal boundary + the honest re-count of 25 ratified bands, demotions applied, `test_volume_honesty.py` moved in the same PR | **L** | Needs an ADR **amendment** (0175/0263 lineage). R-13 authorizes the demotions; it does not write the amendment. Expect served capability to shrink — that is the mechanism working. |
| 5 | ~~**R-13**~~ | PR-12 — distinct-evidence counting at the seal boundary, the honest re-count, demotions applied, the producer hardened against re-padding | **L** | **EXECUTED 2026-07-28. 25 licensed bands → 4.** Served capability shrank by 21 bands and `wrong` stayed 0: no answer changed, only the claim attached to it. |
| 6 | **R-8** | PR-14 — the outcome-mix rule, then seal `curriculum_serve_ledger.json`. Four bands qualify on sealing (N-5) | **M** | Depends on PR-12's counting basis. This is the entire throughput frontier, one ruling wide. |
| 7 | **R-1 · R-5 · R-6 · R-11** | Posture statements: efferent-action deferral with entry criterion (G-12) · the identity-enforcement discrimination bar (G-11) · non-text ingest deferral with the falsification bench as its standard (G-17) · **R-11 B — measure before gating** | **S** each | All four are prose with a criterion. None blocks anything; leaving them silent is the cost. They go last because they are the only items where lateness is cheap. |
@ -340,7 +340,17 @@ Lift `core/cognition/surface_resolution.py`'s declared-precedence pattern to arm
The run is known to pass at 5000 beats (N-4). The deliverable is therefore the ceremony the machinery never got: re-run at the contract's long horizon, **commit the report**, **pin the `deterministic_digest`** so a regression flips it (the contract's own unmet closing instruction), schedule per R-9, and promote the H1H4 holds/bites pins into a curated suite (which PR-4 makes visible). If a hold *bites* at a longer horizon than 5000 beats, that is the highest-value result in this wave and it stops the wave.
### PR-12 · The Wilson re-count · **L** · H-1/G-19 — *ADR amendment (0175/0263 lineage), authorized by R-13*
Distinct-evidence counting at the seal boundary: a replay refreshes, never increments. Declared in the ledger schema. Then re-count the 25 ratified bands and **apply the demotions honestly** — 21 fall short, a number already pinned in `test_volume_honesty.py` "in BOTH directions," so that pin moves in the same PR. Expect served capability to shrink. **Verification:** the re-count is a pinned computation, not a spreadsheet; the demoted bands' licenses are revoked in the same PR.
Distinct-evidence counting at the seal boundary: a replay refreshes, never increments. Declared in the ledger schema. Then re-count the 25 ratified bands and **apply the demotions honestly** — 21 fall short, a number already pinned in `test_volume_honesty.py` "in BOTH directions," so that pin moves in the same PR. Expect served capability to shrink. **Verification:** the re-count is a pinned computation, not a spreadsheet; the demoted bands' licences are revoked in the same PR.
**LANDED 2026-07-28. 25 licensed bands → 4; 21 demoted.** The four survivors are `en_conditional_chain`, `en_disjunctive`, `en_verb_fact`, `en_verb_universal` — the only bands whose corpus holds enough *independent* cases. The worst offenders inflated **28 distinct cases into 720 committed decisions**, taking `conservative_floor` from `0.808413` to `0.990868` and clearing θ_SERVE on evidence that never existed.
**What the demotion did and did not do, stated exactly:** no answer changed, no answer became wrong, `wrong` stayed **0** across all 25 bands. The engine is as correct as it was. What changed is the *claim* attached to the answer — 21 bands now serve the same sound conclusion with *"reasoned, but I haven't yet earned a verified track record on arguments of this shape."* **The reasoning did not get worse; the boast did.**
**The producer was hardened, which is the half that stops it recurring.** `seal_ledger` now refuses outright: `assert_sealed_evidence_distinct` compares the ledger about to be written against the corpus's distinct-case count and raises before anything is written. Curriculum's sealer has carried this guarantee since ADR-0264 R9; deduction's had no equivalent, which is exactly how the exposure arose.
**A hollow guard of my own, caught by sabotage rather than trusted.** The first version compared `all_gold_problems()` with `distinct_gold_problems()` — two functions that agree by construction, neither of which is what `build_ledger` folds. Reverting `build_ledger` to the raw corpus walked straight past it *and re-sealed the inflated artifact*. The guard now takes the **built ledger** as input, because the invariant is about the artifact. Re-run of the identical attack: refused, and **wrote nothing**.
**Four records corrected in the same PR**, each of which would otherwise have kept asserting the old capability: `CAPABILITY_LEDGERS`'s manifest note ("25 bands at 720/720"), the published `CLAIMS.md` claim (caught immediately by G-22's own pin), `test_volume_honesty.py`'s module docstring ("NOT silently repaired" — R-13 *is* that repair), and the exposure inventory's framing (it now pins the fix, not the gap). Eight tests encoded the unearned expectation and were updated to the honest one.
### ~~PR-13 · Curriculum query-scoping~~ · **WITHDRAWN** · N-5
Shipped as ADR-0264 R5, discharged 2026-07-26. The 16-premise cap does not exist in the running system. G-10 is re-scoped to R-8 alone.

View file

@ -9,9 +9,9 @@
**Also ratified:** the ADR-0252 §5 **NO-GO** verdict.
**Execution order (corrected):** R-12 → R-7 → R-3+R-4 → R-9+R-2 → R-13 → R-8 → R-1/R-5/R-6/R-11.
**Executed so far:** R-7 (PR-3, PR-3b) · **R-12** (both ADR amendments + the §5 verdict banner + the §6 retirement-condition amendment) · **R-3 + R-4** (PR-5 — the flag register, the profile mechanism, the daemon's fourth flag) · **R-9 + R-2** (PR-11 — the soak's committed artifact, pinned digest, and change-triggered cadence) — all landed 2026-07-28.
**Executed so far:** R-7 (PR-3, PR-3b) · **R-12** (both ADR amendments + the §5 verdict banner + the §6 retirement-condition amendment) · **R-3 + R-4** (PR-5 — the flag register, the profile mechanism, the daemon's fourth flag) · **R-9 + R-2** (PR-11 — the soak's committed artifact, pinned digest, change-triggered cadence) · **R-13** (PR-12 — the Wilson re-count; 21 of 25 licences revoked) — all landed 2026-07-28.
**Remaining:** R-13 → R-8 → R-1/R-5/R-6/R-11.
**Remaining:** R-8 → R-1/R-5/R-6/R-11.
---
@ -324,7 +324,7 @@ Two flags' documentation describes a production profile the production profile d
## R-13 · Wilson re-count — authorize, knowing licenses may be demoted
**Status:** **RULED A** — 2026-07-28, Shay (explicit adoption) · *authorize the re-count; **served capability will shrink, and that is the mechanism working*** · **Register:** H-1 / G-19 · **Blocks:** PR-12, and PR-14 through it.
**Status:** **RULED A — EXECUTED 2026-07-28 (PR-12)** · *re-counted on distinct evidence: **25 licensed bands → 4**, 21 demoted to disclosed serving; `wrong` stayed 0 throughout. The producer now refuses to seal a padded ledger.* · **Register:** H-1 / G-19 · **Blocks:** PR-12, and PR-14 through it.
**The question.** Wilson lower-bound licensing (θ_SERVE=0.99, ADR-0175 lineage) assumes independent trials. A replay of the same sealed case is one trial observed again, not a new one. Re-counting on a distinct-evidence basis will demote licenses.

View file

@ -38,9 +38,89 @@ _SEALED_LEDGER_PATH = (
)
def distinct_gold_problems() -> list[Any]:
"""The practice corpus with replayed cases collapsed — one per distinct decision.
**R-13, 2026-07-28.** Wilson lower-bound licensing (`conservative_floor`) is a
statement about *independent trials*. A replay of the same sealed case is one
trial observed again, not a new one, so folding the raw corpus inflated every
band: 720 "committed" decisions drawn from as few as **28** distinct cases, and
`conservative_floor(720, 720) = 0.990868` cleared θ_SERVE=0.99 on evidence that
`conservative_floor(28, 28) = 0.808413` does not come close to supporting.
The key is the case **text**, which is the definition already agreed in-repo by
``tests/test_volume_honesty.py`` and the audit behind it: two cases with identical
text are indisputably the same decision. It deliberately *under*-reports a
tighter key (the normalized atom tuple) would collapse spelling variants and find
more inflation because under-reporting makes the measured gap a **floor** on the
real gap rather than a guess at it.
The raw corpus is left alone: it is the practice *material*, and running a case
twice is a legitimate thing for practice to do. What may not happen is a replay
being *counted* as new evidence when a license is computed from the count.
"""
seen: set[tuple[str, str]] = set()
out: list[Any] = []
for problem in all_gold_problems():
key = (problem.class_name, problem.payload["text"])
if key in seen:
continue
seen.add(key)
out.append(problem)
return out
def assert_sealed_evidence_distinct(ledger: dict[str, ClassTally]) -> None:
"""The R9 invariant on the LEDGER ABOUT TO BE SEALED: a padded producer cannot seal.
Mirrors ``evals.curriculum_serve.practice.runner.assert_practice_atoms_distinct``,
which has carried this guarantee on the sibling ledger since ADR-0264 R9. The
deduction sealer had no equivalent, which is precisely how 21 of 25 bands came to
hold SERVE licences their evidence never supported.
Catching it *here* rather than in the audit matters: an audit finds a padded ledger
after it is committed and trusted, and unwinding that exposure then needs a ruling
(it needed one R-13). This raises before the artifact exists.
**It takes the built ledger, and that is the whole point.** The first version of
this guard compared ``all_gold_problems()`` to ``distinct_gold_problems()`` two
functions that agree with each other by construction, and neither of which is what
``build_ledger`` folds. Reverting ``build_ledger`` to the raw corpus sailed straight
past it and re-sealed the inflated artifact. A guard that checks something
*adjacent* to the thing it protects is the exact failure this ledger already
suffered once; it was caught here only because the guard was sabotage-tested rather
than trusted. The invariant is about the **artifact**, so the artifact is the input.
"""
distinct: dict[str, set[str]] = {}
for problem in all_gold_problems():
distinct.setdefault(problem.class_name, set()).add(problem.payload["text"])
padded = {
band: (tally.committed, len(distinct.get(band, ())))
for band, tally in ledger.items()
if tally.committed != len(distinct.get(band, ()))
}
if padded:
detail = ", ".join(
f"{band}: ledger committed={got} but only {want} distinct cases exist"
for band, (got, want) in sorted(padded.items())
)
raise ValueError(
"refusing to seal — the ledger counts replays as independent trials, which "
"is the precondition conservative_floor assumes and these bands violate: "
f"{detail}"
)
def build_ledger() -> dict[str, ClassTally]:
"""Run sealed practice over the synthetic corpus → per-band ledger."""
report = run_practice(all_gold_problems(), DeductionSolver(), ConstructionGoldTether())
"""Run sealed practice over the corpus → per-band ledger, on DISTINCT evidence.
``committed == distinct`` by construction, which is the same guarantee the
curriculum ledger states in its own seal note. Before R-13 this folded the raw
corpus and the difference was invisible in the artifact: a band recorded 720/720
whether that was 720 decisions or 28 decisions replayed.
"""
report = run_practice(distinct_gold_problems(), DeductionSolver(), ConstructionGoldTether())
return dict(report.ledger)
@ -73,7 +153,7 @@ def run(ceilings: Ceilings | None = None) -> dict[str, Any]:
}
def build_sealed_artifact() -> dict[str, Any]:
def build_sealed_artifact(ledger: dict[str, ClassTally] | None = None) -> dict[str, Any]:
"""The committed sealed-ledger dict (self-verifying ``content_sha256``).
Formatting and hashing come from the shared bridge (ADR-0263) byte
@ -81,23 +161,37 @@ def build_sealed_artifact() -> dict[str, Any]:
the refactor is proven safe: re-sealing must not move the artifact.
"""
return seal_artifact(
build_ledger(),
build_ledger() if ledger is None else ledger,
schema="deduction_serve_ledger_v1",
note=(
"Sealed-practice committed ledger for deduction serving (ADR-0256). "
"Engine reads, never writes. Ceilings stay at safe defaults "
"(theta_SERVE=0.99). A band earns SERVE by demonstrated pipeline "
"reliability (reader+projector+engine) at volume >= 657 committed."
"reliability (reader+projector+engine) at volume >= 657 committed. "
"RE-COUNTED 2026-07-28 under R-13: one committed case per DISTINCT "
"decision (case text), so committed == distinct evidence by construction. "
"The prior seal folded the raw corpus and counted replays as independent "
"trials, which the Wilson floor assumes they are not; 21 of 25 bands held "
"SERVE licences their evidence never supported and are demoted here."
),
provenance="evals.deduction_serve.practice.runner.seal_ledger",
)
def seal_ledger(path: Path = _SEALED_LEDGER_PATH) -> dict[str, Any]:
"""Regenerate + write the committed sealed ledger. Verifies corpus soundness
against the independent oracle first (a mis-stated gold can never seal)."""
"""Regenerate + write the committed sealed ledger.
Two preconditions, both checked before anything is written:
* ``assert_practice_gold_sound()`` a mis-stated gold can never seal.
* ``assert_sealed_evidence_distinct(ledger)`` a producer counting replays as
independent trials can never seal (R-13 / ADR-0264 R9). It is handed the built
ledger rather than the corpus, because the corpus is not what gets sealed.
"""
assert_practice_gold_sound()
return write_sealed_ledger(path, build_sealed_artifact())
ledger = build_ledger()
assert_sealed_evidence_distinct(ledger)
return write_sealed_ledger(path, build_sealed_artifact(ledger))
def main(argv: list[str] | None = None) -> int:

View file

@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ _LANE_ADR: dict[str, tuple[str, str]] = {
),
"deduction_serve_v1": (
"ADR-0256",
"Flag-gated deduction serving decides real English/member/fused/verb/existential arguments end-to-end under earned SERVE licenses; wrong=0 across all splits",
"Flag-gated deduction serving decides real English/member/fused/verb/existential arguments end-to-end, wrong=0 across all splits; 4 of 25 shape-bands hold an earned SERVE licence on DISTINCT evidence (R-13 re-count, 2026-07-28) and the other 21 decide with disclosure",
),
}

View file

@ -150,14 +150,36 @@ def test_fabricated_premise_reaches_a_served_deduction_surface() -> None:
The verdict is unaffected here, but the *recital* is: CORE tells the user
they said ``furthermore``. Revise only by removing the fabrication.
**Updated 2026-07-28 (R-13), and deliberately not weakened.** The re-count
demoted ``conditional_single``, so both surfaces now carry the unverified-shape
disclosure. The prefix is licensing, not comprehension: it says *"I have not
earned a track record on this argument shape"*, which is a true statement about
evidence volume and says nothing about whether the recited premises are real.
**The fabrication survives the demotion untouched** that is the finding, and it
is sharper now than before: a disclosure prefix might look like it covers the
hazard, and it does not. The user is still told they said ``furthermore``.
The assertion therefore stays exact-match on the full string, including the
prefix, so neither the fabrication nor the licence state can drift unnoticed.
"""
from chat.deduction_surface import deduction_grounded_surface
disclosure = (
"(reasoned, but I haven't yet earned a verified track record on "
"arguments of this shape) "
)
clean = deduction_grounded_surface("if p then q. p. therefore q.")
leaked = deduction_grounded_surface("furthermore, if p then q. p. therefore q.")
assert clean == "Given: p implies q; p. Your premises entail: q."
assert leaked == "Given: furthermore; p implies q; p. Your premises entail: q."
assert clean == disclosure + "Given: p implies q; p. Your premises entail: q."
assert leaked == disclosure + "Given: furthermore; p implies q; p. Your premises entail: q."
# The defect, isolated from the licence state: the ONLY difference between a
# clean and a leaked recital is the fabricated premise. If this ever passes
# because both surfaces became refusals, the exact-match assertions above fail
# first — which is why they are kept rather than replaced by this.
assert leaked.replace("furthermore; ", "") == clean
def test_aspect_arms_drop_negation() -> None:

View file

@ -78,17 +78,60 @@ def test_corpus_is_sound_against_independent_oracle() -> None:
assert_practice_gold_sound() # raises AssertionError on any mis-stated gold
def test_every_band_earns_serve_wrong_zero() -> None:
#: The four bands whose DISTINCT evidence clears theta_SERVE=0.99 after the R-13
#: re-count. Derived from the audit, not chosen: they are the only bands whose
#: corpus contains enough *independent* cases. The other 21 held licences that
#: replay volume manufactured — 720 committed from as few as 28 distinct cases.
SERVE_LICENSED_BANDS = frozenset(
{"en_conditional_chain", "en_disjunctive", "en_verb_fact", "en_verb_universal"}
)
def test_practice_is_wrong_zero_on_distinct_evidence() -> None:
"""``wrong=0`` survives the re-count — it was never the thing at issue.
R-13 demoted 21 of 25 bands, and it is worth being exact about what that did
and did not mean: **no answer changed and no answer became wrong.** The engine
is exactly as correct as it was. What changed is the *claim* the ledger makes
about how much independent evidence backs each band, and therefore which bands
may answer authoritatively rather than with disclosure.
"""
from evals.deduction_serve.practice.runner import run
report = run()
assert report["wrong_is_zero"] is True
assert report["all_bands_serve_licensed"] is True
assert set(report["classes"]) == set(ALL_SHAPE_BANDS)
for band, c in report["classes"].items():
assert c["wrong"] == 0, band
assert c["serve_licensed"] is True, band
assert c["reliability"] >= 0.99, (band, c["reliability"])
def test_only_bands_with_distinct_evidence_earn_serve() -> None:
"""The demotion, pinned in BOTH directions (R-13).
Down: a band outside :data:`SERVE_LICENSED_BANDS` must not be licensed that is
the exposure this ruling closed. Up: a band inside it must stay licensed so a
future change cannot quietly revoke earned capability either.
"""
from evals.deduction_serve.practice.runner import run
report = run()
licensed = {b for b, c in report["classes"].items() if c["serve_licensed"]}
assert licensed == set(SERVE_LICENSED_BANDS), (
"the SERVE-licensed set moved. Down = capability lost; up = a band earned a "
f"licence. Either is a reviewed decision.\n now: {sorted(licensed)}\n"
f" pinned: {sorted(SERVE_LICENSED_BANDS)}"
)
assert report["all_bands_serve_licensed"] is False, (
"all 25 bands are licensed again — the producer is counting replays as "
"independent trials, which is exactly what R-13 removed"
)
for band, c in report["classes"].items():
expected = band in SERVE_LICENSED_BANDS
assert c["serve_licensed"] is expected, (band, c["reliability"])
if expected:
assert c["reliability"] >= 0.99, (band, c["reliability"])
else:
assert c["reliability"] < 0.99, (band, c["reliability"])
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
@ -96,13 +139,23 @@ def test_every_band_earns_serve_wrong_zero() -> None:
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def test_committed_ledger_verifies_and_earns_serve() -> None:
def test_committed_ledger_verifies_and_matches_the_recount() -> None:
"""The committed artifact must agree with the re-counted licence set.
All 25 bands stay *in* the ledger a demoted band is not a deleted band. It
keeps its evidence on the record and serves with disclosure, which is a
stronger honesty position than vanishing: the reader can see exactly how much
evidence the band has and why it is not enough.
"""
ledger = load_ratified_ledger()
assert set(ledger) == set(ALL_SHAPE_BANDS)
ceilings = Ceilings.default()
licensed = set()
for band, tally in ledger.items():
assert tally.wrong == 0, band
assert license_for(tally, Action.SERVE, ceilings).licensed is True, band
if license_for(tally, Action.SERVE, ceilings).licensed:
licensed.add(band)
assert licensed == set(SERVE_LICENSED_BANDS), sorted(licensed)
def test_serve_license_returns_none_for_unknown_band() -> None:
@ -141,14 +194,36 @@ def test_tampered_ledger_is_rejected(tmp_path, monkeypatch) -> None:
def test_earned_band_serves_authoritatively() -> None:
"""With the committed (earned) ledger, an in-band argument is served
plainly no hedge (Phase 1 behavior preserved)."""
surface = deduction_grounded_surface("If p then q. p. Therefore q.")
"""An band that DID earn its licence on distinct evidence still serves plainly.
``en_conditional_chain`` is one of the four survivors (720 committed, 720
distinct no inflation at all). This is the direction that proves R-13 removed
unearned licences rather than simply breaking authoritative serving.
"""
surface = deduction_grounded_surface(
"If the kettle boils then the whistle sounds. "
"If the whistle sounds then the cat wakes. "
"The kettle boils. Therefore the cat wakes."
)
assert surface is not None
assert surface.startswith("Given:")
assert _UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE not in surface
def test_demoted_band_still_answers_but_discloses() -> None:
"""The demotion changes the CLAIM, not the answer — the load-bearing half of R-13.
``conditional_single`` was licensed on 720 committed decisions drawn from 294
distinct cases. After the re-count it is not licensed, and the same sound
conclusion is served with the unverified-shape disclosure. The reasoning did not
get worse; the boast did.
"""
surface = deduction_grounded_surface("If p then q. p. Therefore q.")
assert surface is not None
assert surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
assert "Your premises entail: q" in surface
def test_unearned_band_is_disclosed_not_committed() -> None:
"""Strip the ledger (inject an empty lookup) and the SAME sound answer is
served DISCLOSED proving the capability is earned, not merely flagged."""
@ -158,3 +233,44 @@ def test_unearned_band_is_disclosed_not_committed() -> None:
assert surface is not None
assert surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
assert "Your premises entail: q" in surface # the sound answer still served
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# R-13 — the seal-time guard that makes the re-count unrepeatable
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def test_sealer_refuses_a_ledger_that_counts_replays() -> None:
"""A padded ledger can never be sealed again (R-13 / ADR-0264 R9).
The re-count fixed the artifact. This fixes the *producer*, which is the half
that stops it recurring: ``seal_ledger`` refuses before writing anything.
Worth recording how this assertion came to exist. The first version of the guard
compared ``all_gold_problems()`` with ``distinct_gold_problems()`` two functions
that agree by construction and neither of which is what ``build_ledger`` folds.
Reverting ``build_ledger`` to the raw corpus walked straight past it and re-sealed
the inflated artifact. It was caught only because the guard was sabotage-tested
instead of trusted, which is why the guard now takes the **built ledger** as input:
the invariant is about the artifact, so the artifact is what it reads.
"""
from core.reliability_gate import ClassTally
from evals.deduction_serve.practice.runner import assert_sealed_evidence_distinct
from evals.deduction_serve.practice.runner import build_ledger
honest = build_ledger()
assert_sealed_evidence_distinct(honest) # the real ledger passes
padded = dict(honest)
band = "atomic"
padded[band] = ClassTally(
class_name=band,
correct=720,
wrong=0,
refused=honest[band].refused,
t2_verified=honest[band].t2_verified,
t2_agrees_gold=honest[band].t2_agrees_gold,
)
with pytest.raises(ValueError, match="counts replays as independent trials"):
assert_sealed_evidence_distinct(padded)

View file

@ -123,7 +123,13 @@ def test_multiword_conditional_is_decided_band_v2_en() -> None:
)
assert surface is not None
assert "Your premises entail: the ground is wet" in surface
assert not surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
# R-13 (2026-07-28): this band was DEMOTED by the distinct-evidence re-count
# — en_conditional_single (474 distinct of 720 committed). The shape is still DECIDED, which is what this
# test is actually about; what changed is the claim attached to the answer.
# The engine now discloses that it has not earned a track record on this
# shape instead of answering authoritatively. Asserting the old behaviour
# here would re-assert a licence the evidence never supported.
assert surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
def test_contraposition_is_decided_band_v2_en() -> None:
@ -185,7 +191,13 @@ def test_membership_syllogism_is_decided_band_v3_mem() -> None:
)
assert surface is not None
assert "Your premises entail: socrates is mortal" in surface
assert not surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
# R-13 (2026-07-28): this band was DEMOTED by the distinct-evidence re-count
# — en_member_single (60 distinct of 720 committed). The shape is still DECIDED, which is what this
# test is actually about; what changed is the claim attached to the answer.
# The engine now discloses that it has not earned a track record on this
# shape instead of answering authoritatively. Asserting the old behaviour
# here would re-assert a licence the evidence never supported.
assert surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
def test_member_negative_universal_is_decided() -> None:
@ -243,7 +255,13 @@ def test_conditional_membership_fusion_is_decided_band_v4_cm() -> None:
)
assert surface is not None
assert "Your premises entail: socrates is mortal" in surface
assert not surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
# R-13 (2026-07-28): this band was DEMOTED by the distinct-evidence re-count
# — en_condmem_conditional (60 distinct of 720 committed). The shape is still DECIDED, which is what this
# test is actually about; what changed is the claim attached to the answer.
# The engine now discloses that it has not earned a track record on this
# shape instead of answering authoritatively. Asserting the old behaviour
# here would re-assert a licence the evidence never supported.
assert surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
def test_conditional_membership_fusion_genuinely_fuses() -> None:
@ -450,7 +468,13 @@ def test_existential_is_decided_band_v6_ex() -> None:
)
assert surface is not None
assert "Your premises entail: some whales are vertebrates" in surface
assert not surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
# R-13 (2026-07-28): this band was DEMOTED by the distinct-evidence re-count
# — en_exist_universal (46 distinct of 720 committed). The shape is still DECIDED, which is what this
# test is actually about; what changed is the claim attached to the answer.
# The engine now discloses that it has not earned a track record on this
# shape instead of answering authoritatively. Asserting the old behaviour
# here would re-assert a licence the evidence never supported.
assert surface.startswith(_UNVERIFIED_SHAPE_DISCLOSURE)
def test_existential_conclusion_does_not_close_the_domain() -> None:

View file

@ -21,10 +21,15 @@ Three producers back the three entries in `core.ratified_ledger.CAPABILITY_LEDGE
record needs, on distinct cases. This is the standard the other producers are
measured against, and it is why the deduction finding is a regression from an
established practice rather than a gap nobody had thought about.
- **deduction_serve** (ADR-0256) 21 of 25 bands do not clear θ_SERVE on
distinct evidence; the worst three inflate 28 distinct cases to 720 committed.
Recorded, pinned, and NOT silently repaired: the ledger is SHA-sealed, ratified,
and gating a live flag, so changing it is Shay's ratification, not a test's.
- **deduction_serve** (ADR-0256) 21 of 25 bands did not clear θ_SERVE on
distinct evidence; the worst three inflated 28 distinct cases to 720 committed.
For three days this was recorded, pinned, and deliberately NOT repaired, because
the ledger is SHA-sealed, ratified, and gates a live flag changing it was Shay's
ratification, not a test's. **That ratification is R-13 (2026-07-28), and it has
been applied:** the ledger is re-sealed on distinct evidence, the 21 are demoted
and decide with disclosure, four hold earned licences, and the producer now
REFUSES to seal a padded ledger at all. The audit below no longer measures an
exposure; it pins the repair.
- **curriculum_serve** (ADR-0262/0264) clean, and clean *structurally*: the
producer's case identity IS the query atom, so ``committed == distinct`` cannot
drift apart the way it did for deduction, where case identity was a quota index.
@ -128,10 +133,15 @@ AUDIT_SOURCES: dict[str, Callable[[], dict[str, list[Hashable]]] | None] = {
}
#: Measured 2026-07-25 at main @ `6ada6f7a`. Every band is 720 committed.
#: This is an EXPOSURE INVENTORY, not an approved baseline: 21 of these 25 do not
#: clear θ_SERVE=0.99 on distinct evidence. It is pinned so the exposure cannot
#: grow or drift unnoticed while the ratification question is open.
#: Distinct-evidence counts per band. Measured 2026-07-25 at main @ `6ada6f7a`,
#: when every band was 720 committed and this was an EXPOSURE INVENTORY: 21 of 25
#: did not clear θ_SERVE=0.99 on the evidence below.
#:
#: **APPLIED 2026-07-28 (R-13).** It is no longer an exposure. The sealed ledger is
#: re-counted on exactly these numbers — committed == distinct — so the 21 are
#: demoted and decide with disclosure, and four hold earned licences. This list is
#: now the *expected* shape of the ledger rather than a measurement of a gap, and
#: `test_deduction_sealed_ledger_matches_the_producer_it_names` pins that equality.
DEDUCTION_DISTINCT_EVIDENCE: dict[str, int] = {
"atomic": 98,
"categorical": 294,
@ -386,11 +396,25 @@ def test_deduction_sealed_ledger_matches_the_producer_it_names(
ledger = json.loads(path.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
classes = ledger["classes"]
assert ledger["provenance"] == "evals.deduction_serve.practice.runner.seal_ledger"
produced = {a.band: a.committed for a in deduction_audits}
# R-13 (2026-07-28): the sealed ledger now counts DISTINCT evidence, so this
# invariant is strictly stronger than it was. Before the re-count it compared the
# sealed committed counts to the producer's committed counts and both were the
# inflated 720 — the assertion held perfectly while the number it agreed on was
# the wrong number. Two records agreeing is not evidence that either is right.
# It now pins what the re-count actually guarantees: committed == distinct.
produced_distinct = {a.band: a.distinct for a in deduction_audits}
produced_raw = {a.band: a.committed for a in deduction_audits}
sealed = {name: tally["correct"] + tally["wrong"] for name, tally in classes.items()}
assert sealed == produced, (
"sealed ledger committed counts diverge from the producer — the audit "
"below would then be measuring something the engine does not read"
assert sealed == produced_distinct, (
"sealed ledger committed counts diverge from the producer's DISTINCT counts "
"— either the seal is stale, or build_ledger stopped folding the "
"de-duplicated corpus and replays are being counted as evidence again"
)
inflated = sorted(b for b in sealed if produced_raw[b] != produced_distinct[b])
assert inflated, (
"no band shows any raw-vs-distinct gap, so this assertion proves nothing "
"about de-duplication. Either the corpus lost its replays, or the audit has "
"gone blind — check before assuming the good news."
)
assert all(tally["wrong"] == 0 for tally in classes.values()), "wrong=0 must hold"