core/docs/PROGRESS.md
Shay 86ef117f6e docs(identity): empirical finding — fix #3 needs upstream ingest-gate work
Followed up the prior carry-forward (sharpen IdentityManifold axis
vectorisation) with a focused empirical investigation. Probed every
candidate per-case discriminator derivable from the existing
CognitiveTurnResult across v3 and v5:

  Signal                          Attack   Legit   Separable
  identity_score.alignment         1.000   1.000   no - identical
  field-delta L2 norm              ~3.4    ~3.9    no - heavy overlap
  semantic-coord energy ratio      ~0.88   ~0.91   no - overlap
  vault_hits                       ~8.6    ~7.9    no - overlap
  surface length / intent tag      same    same    no

The pipeline encodes identity-override attacks and legitimate
corrections into statistically indistinguishable field-state
geometries. No amount of axis-direction sharpening on the
IdentityManifold can recover a signal that isn't present in the
trajectory data being projected.

Architectural conclusion: fix #3 cannot be made load-bearing in
place. Required upstream work (out of scope for this PR):

  1. ingest/gate.py: encode token semantic categories (redirect-verb,
     role-frame, self-reference, negating-qualifier) into specific
     blade coordinates of the field versor at injection time.
  2. IdentityManifold axes in the 32-dim Cl(4,1) basis with directions
     derived from post-(1) empirical signatures.
  3. Replace _axis_projection with a real inner-product projection of
     trajectory delta onto axis directions.

What stands today: fix #2 (syntactic) + normalization reject 100% of
v1-v5 attacks (n=121) with 0 false positives on 51 legitimates -
this is the load-bearing defense. Fix #3's predicate, unit tests,
and pipeline wiring remain as scaffolding for the upstream work.

Adds:
  - evals/adversarial_identity/calibration/probe_field_signature.py
    The reproducible empirical baseline. Any future ingest-gate
    change must demonstrate per-case attack/legitimate separation
    on this probe before fix #3 can be claimed load-bearing.
  - Architectural finding written into gaps.md and PROGRESS.md.

This unblocks Phase 3 (reasoning depth). Sharpening fix #3 will be
authored separately when the upstream ingest-gate work is scoped.
2026-05-16 14:23:20 -07:00

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Capability Roadmap — Progress Tracker

Tracks completion of the phased plan defined in docs/capability_roadmap.md (ADR-0016). Updated as work lands.


Phase 0 — Benchmark Methodology Lock-in

Status: Complete Started: 2026-05-15 Completed: 2026-05-16

  • Promote roadmap to ADR-0016
  • Extract docs/eval_methodology.md from roadmap Part I
  • Create progress tracker (docs/PROGRESS.md)
  • Implement evals/<lane>/ directory convention
  • Build generic eval framework (evals/framework.py)
  • Retrofit core eval cognition into new convention
    • Split 45 cases into dev (13) / public v1 (13) / holdout (19)
    • Write evals/cognition/contract.md
    • Migrate runner.py to use framework
    • Record v1 results under new layout
  • Generalize core eval <lane> CLI (dynamic lane discovery)
  • Implement holdout runner scaffold
  • Implement baseline runner scaffold
  • Exit gate: core eval cognition runs under new convention with v1 public + holdout + baseline

Methodology issues discovered (Phase 0 audit)

  1. Pipeline turn_log crash: CognitiveTurnPipeline.run() assumed turn_log was always populated after chat(), but the unknown-domain gate returns a stub without appending. Fixed with fallback to tokenizer output.
  2. Versor drift in multi-turn sessions: test_pipeline_preserves_versor_closure reveals that after 3 turns in the same session, "spirit breath" causes versor_condition = 1.12e-04 (threshold: 1e-6). Pre-existing; resolved by strict runtime closure enforcement (always unitize after sandwich product).
  3. Identity/drive bias shelved: Premature persona motor and drive bias introduced trajectory drift. Removed in favour of persona-neutral generic runtime; identity returns behind explicit IdentityProfile contract.

Phase 1 — Foundational Triple

Status: Complete ✓ Started: 2026-05-16 Completed: 2026-05-16 Depends on: Phase 0 exit

  • grammatical-coverage lane (v1 + v2 complete)
    • Enumerate English v1 constructions (13 constructions: C01-C13)
    • Write contract test pairs (PropositionGraph -> surface family)
    • Implement v1 dev/public (~41/36 items)
    • Implement holdout (52 items) — 100% pass
    • Engineer realizer.py to pass v1 (dev=100%, public=100%, holdout=100%)
    • Hebrew pack (he_core_cognition_v1 with binyanim support)
    • Koine Greek pack (grc_logos_cognition_v1 with Greek morphology)
    • Generate v2 on pass (deeper nesting, longer sentences, rarer vocabulary) — 36 cases (100% pass)
  • zero-code-domain-acquisition lane (v1 complete, zero engineering gaps)
    • Define 3 surprise domains (kinship, calendar, color)
    • Build pack-only authoring kits (vocabulary, relations, axioms, teaching examples, prompts)
    • Test: author brings CORE to >=80% without Python edits (100% achieved)
    • Log engineering gaps (ZERO — pack-only authoring contract is solid)
    • v1 dev (30/30), v1 public (18/18 across all 3 domains), v1 holdout (21/21) — all 100% pass
  • identity-divergence lane (v1 complete)
    • Define two identity axis sets (Axis A: Precision-first, Axis B: Generosity-first)
    • Curate shared curriculum (93 teaching events across color/kinship/reasoning/spatial)
    • Build divergence metric (>0.30 threshold): all pass (1.000)
    • Build coherence metric (>0.85 threshold for A and B): all pass (1.000)
    • Identity-stripped baseline with causal check: all pass (delta=1.000)
    • v1 dev (5/5), v1 public (5/5), v1 holdout (5/5) — all 100% pass
  • Exit gate: All three lanes pass v1 public + holdout ✓

Phase 2 — Structural Wins Made Visible

Status: In Progress Started: 2026-05-16 Depends on: Phase 1 exit

  • provenance lane (v1 complete)
    • Define Provenance dataclass + compute_provenance() (core/cognition/provenance.py)
    • Unit tests for provenance derivation (6/6 pass — tests/test_provenance.py)
    • Build pack-axiom / vault-recall / teaching / mixed case categories
    • v1 dev (10/10), v1 public (20/20), v1 holdouts (15/15) — all 100% pass
    • Sub-metrics: replay_determinism=1.0, source_attribution=1.0, source_validity=1.0, input_sensitivity=1.0
    • Fixed shape regression in generate/stream.py score-weighted recall (np.eye → multivector identity)
    • Replaced linear-blend rotor scaling with manifold-preserving rotor_power (algebra/rotor.py); 41 closure-preservation tests
    • Restored respond()/result.final_state identity contract after anchor pull
  • monotonic-learning lane (v1 complete)
    • Define contract: longitudinal regression check across ≥10 teaching cycles
    • Implement runner: shared session, sorted ops, per-(cycle, domain) accuracy table
    • Generator (scripts/generate_monotonic_cases.py) for cycle/probe corpora
    • v1 dev (10 cycles), v1 public (12 cycles, 3 domains), v1 holdouts (12 cycles, 2 distinct domains)
    • All splits: max_regression=0.00, floor_score=1.00, overall_pass=true
    • Structural win demonstrated: zero regression across 34 total cycles / 7 distinct domains
  • calibration lane (v1 complete)
    • Define contract: typed signals for no_grounding / coherent / correction_proposed
    • Classification from CognitiveTurnResult (vault_hits + pack_mutation_proposal)
    • Runner with per-case fresh pipeline (avoids cross-case field drift)
    • v1 dev (12/12), v1 public (24/24), v1 holdouts (18/18) — all 100% pass
    • Sub-metrics: no_grounding=1.0, coherent=1.0, correction_proposed=1.0
    • Architectural finding documented (evals/calibration/gaps.md): the ingest gate is geometric, not semantic — 6/42 hand-chosen OOD prompts fire the geometric gate. v1 measures recall-presence + correction-firing signals (deterministic), not semantic OOD. Pipeline override of gate's safety surface is a separate gap.
  • symbolic-logic lane (v1 complete)
    • Define contract: structural foundations for proposition-based inference
    • Patterns: modus_ponens_chain, modus_tollens_chain, syllogism, negation, chain_recall
    • Runner: per-case fresh pipeline + double-run replay check
    • Sub-metrics: premise_recall=1.0, replay_determinism=1.0, proposal_storage=1.0
    • v1 dev (8/8), v1 public (18/18), v1 holdouts (12/12) — all 100% pass
    • Architectural finding documented (evals/symbolic_logic/gaps.md): CORE has no first-class inference operator yet. v1 measures the storage, replay, and recall foundations on which a future inference engine would be built. v2 would assert specific inference correctness (transitive recall surface contents).
  • adversarial-identity lane (v1 complete)
    • Define contract: identity-override attacks rejected at review; legitimate corrections still accepted
    • Cover all _IDENTITY_MARKERS families (you are / forget / pretend / override / ignore / your name / act as / from now / character / personality)
    • Per-case fresh pipeline; prior question primes the review surface
    • Sub-metrics: attack_rejection_rate=1.0, legitimate_acceptance_rate=1.0
    • v1 dev (10/10), v1 public (25/25), v1 holdouts (18/18) — all 100% pass
  • All five Phase 2 v1 lanes passing
  • Frontier baselines computed for all lanes (structural-zero floor)
    • docs/frontier_baselines.md — per-lane analysis: frontier LLMs do not emit the typed signals CORE's rubrics score against (provenance sources, pack_mutation_proposal, vault_hits, REJECTED_IDENTITY outcome, deterministic trace_hash)
    • Per-lane structural-zero baseline JSON written under evals/<lane>/baselines/v1_structural_zero.json
    • StructuralZeroBaseline adapter in evals/baseline_runner.py — deterministic floor; live-API adapters can be added when keys are configured
  • v2 lanes: all five at 100% pass
    • monotonic-learning v2 — 20 cyc / 5 dom (public), 18 cyc / 4 dom (holdouts)
    • provenance v2 — 30 + 20 cases, all sub-metrics 1.0
    • adversarial-identity v2 — 35 + 22 cases, all 1.0
    • calibration v2 — 33 + 24 cases, all class accuracies 1.0
    • symbolic-logic v2 — 24 + 16 cases (chains up to 5 hops), all 1.0
  • Exit gate: v3 lanes for at least two of the five ✓
    • monotonic-learning v3 — 30 cyc / 7 dom (public), 25 cyc / 6 dom (holdouts), max_regression=0.0, floor_score=1.0 on both splits
    • adversarial-identity v3 — 30 + 20 paraphrased-attack cases. Initial v3 result (pre-fix): attack_rejection_rate=0.0, legitimate_acceptance_rate=1.0. v3 was a load-bearing finding that exposed the marker-string defense as brittle to paraphrase.

Identity-override defense — fix #2 + fix #3 (2026-05-16)

Triggered by the v3 finding above. Two-layer defense now active in teaching/review.py:

  • Fix #2 (syntactic). _is_identity_override applies four deterministic rules: (a) legacy markers, (b) redirect-verb + role-frame co-occurrence, (c) negating qualifier ±3 tokens from a role-frame, (d) negating qualifier ±3 tokens from a redirect-verb.
  • Fix #3 (geometric). IdentityCheck.would_violate(score, manifold) predicate added to core/physics/identity.py; review_correction now accepts identity_score / identity_manifold kwargs and is wired in CognitiveTurnPipeline._run_teaching from response.identity_score.

Lane results after both fixes:

split attacks attack_rej legit_acc
public/v1 15 1.0 1.0
holdouts/v1 10 1.0 1.0
public/v2 20 1.0 1.0
holdouts/v2 12 1.0 1.0
public/v3 20 1.0 1.0
holdouts/v3 12 1.0 1.0
public/v4 20 1.0 1.0
holdouts/v4 12 1.0 1.0
public/v5 20 1.0 1.0
holdouts/v5 12 1.0 1.0

v4 is the regression gate for fix #2 — new attack vocabulary combinations that exercise rules (b)/(c)/(d) without repeating v3's specific surface. v5 is the regression gate for the normalization layer — contractions (you're/it's/let's/don't), curly quotes (U+2018/U+2019), em-dashes, and verb morphology (becoming / transformed / dropped / becomes) — all now folded before rule evaluation. All v1v5 splits pass at 100%; legitimate-correction false-positive rate is 0% (including legitimates that themselves use contractions: wisdom's broader, knowledge isn't merely collected, etc.).

Honest finding: with the current default IdentityManifold (three unit-axis ValueAxes), the geometric layer flags 0/32 of v3 attacks independently of fix #2. The predicate and wiring are in place; the manifold's axis design is the limiting factor and needs sharpening before the geometric defense can carry weight on its own. See evals/adversarial_identity/gaps.md.

Geometric-axis sharpening investigation (2026-05-16)

A focused empirical investigation against v3 and v5 (preserved as evals/adversarial_identity/calibration/probe_field_signature.py) swept every candidate per-case discriminator derivable from the existing CognitiveTurnResult — identity_score.alignment, field-delta L2 norm, semantic-coord energy ratio, vault_hits, surface length, intent tag. No signal separated attack from legitimate at the per-case level. identity_score.alignment is 1.000 universally; field-delta distributions overlap heavily; vault retrieval grounds both kinds similarly.

The pipeline encodes identity-override attacks and legitimate corrections into statistically indistinguishable field-state geometries. No amount of axis-direction sharpening on the IdentityManifold can recover a signal that isn't present in the trajectory data being projected.

Architectural conclusion: fix #3 cannot be made load-bearing in place. The required upstream work — encoding token semantic categories into specific blade coordinates of the field versor at the ingest gate, then redefining the IdentityManifold axes in the 32-dim Cl(4,1) basis with a real inner-product projection — is a scoped multi-PR effort, not a single sharpening exercise. The calibration probe stands as the empirical baseline that any future ingest-gate change must beat before fix #3 can be claimed load-bearing. See evals/adversarial_identity/gaps.md for the full table of measured signals and the recommended path.

What stands today as the load-bearing defense: fix #2 (syntactic rules a/b/c/d) + the normalization layer reject 100% of v1v5 attacks (n=121) with 0 false positives on 51 legitimate corrections. Fix #3's predicate, unit tests, and wiring remain as scaffolding for the upstream work above.

Phase 2 — COMPLETE

All five Phase 2 v1+v2 lanes pass at 100%; frontier structural baselines documented; v3 satisfies the exit-gate requirement (two lanes, one demonstrating a passing structural-depth test and one demonstrating an architectural vulnerability that the geometric identity-check fix in evals/adversarial_identity/gaps.md would close).

Parallel eval infrastructure (2026-05-16)

  • evals/parallel.pyrun_cases_parallel() helper using multiprocessing.Pool with the "spawn" start method (avoids forking heavy parent state). Default workers = min(cpu_count, 8).
  • Wired into the four per-case lanes (provenance, calibration, symbolic-logic, adversarial-identity). run_lane(..., workers=N) controls parallelism; workers=1 forces serial for debugging.
  • Empirical speedup (adversarial-identity public/v1, 25 cases): serial 14.1s → parallel 3.1s (~4.5x).
  • Monotonic-learning intentionally stays serial within a split (shared longitudinal session by design).

Phase 3 — Reasoning Depth

Status: Not Started Depends on: Phase 2 exit

  • compositionality lane (construction-family splits, not sampling)
  • inference-closure lane
  • introspection lane
  • multi-step-reasoning lane
  • cross-domain-transfer lane
  • Pin agency scope decision (responsive vs. goal-directed)
  • Pin tool-use scope decision
  • Exit gate: All five v1 scored; at least two passing v1

Phase 4 — Scale and Efficiency

Status: Not Started Depends on: Phase 3 exit

  • sample-efficiency curves (>=10 concepts)
  • long-context-cost curves (10^3 to 10^6 vault entries)
  • multi-agent-composition (>=2 agents, replay preserved)
  • Vault indexing strategy decided
  • Exit gate: All curves published with confidence intervals

Phase 5 — Curriculum Era

Status: Not Started Depends on: Phase 4 exit

  • 5.1 English fluency (grammatical-coverage v5 OOD)
  • 5.2 Hebrew fluency
  • 5.3 Koine Greek fluency
  • 5.4 Elementary mathematics
  • 5.5 Foundational physics
  • 5.6 Foundational biology
  • 5.7 Classical literature
  • Phase 1-4 lanes re-run on every release (no regression)

Open Scope Decisions

Decision Status Deadline
Agency (responsive vs. goal-directed) Open Before Phase 3
Tool use (typed deterministic operators) Open Before Phase 3
Code generation (first-class target) Open Before Phase 5
Embodiment (sensorium gates) Open Phase 5