bb96adb771
Pins the pre-arc baseline for the basic-logic end-to-end workflow
(user logic question -> comprehend -> decide -> articulate).
Central finding, proven with a runnable probe: every organ the workflow
needs already exists and is verified wrong=0, but none are wired to each
other on the serving path. comprehend()+to_deductive_logic/to_syllogism
decide 'If p then q. p. Therefore q.' -> entailed and a Barbara syllogism
-> valid=True in isolation, while ChatRuntime.chat() on the SAME text
returns a pack token-gloss surface (grounding_source='pack',
refusal_reason='') — the deductive engine is bypassed entirely.
Baseline (all wrong=0): 7 comprehension lanes green on curated gold;
deductive engine 716/716 (dev 200 / holdout 500 / external 16);
proofwriter-owa 9 correct / 10 refused / 0 coverage-gaps; smoke 180 passed.
Band v1 = propositional + syllogism projectors. Input boundary defined
precisely: single-token propositional atoms in 'P1. P2. Therefore C.'
form, and single-word-term categorical syllogisms (declarative AND
interrogative). Multi-word English propositions ('the ground is wet')
refuse via reader _RESERVED guard -> deferred to Phase 4 widening.
Artifacts:
- docs/research/deduction-serve-arc-phase0-baseline-2026-07-23.md
- docs/research/deduction-serve-phase0-baseline.json (pinned numbers)
[Verification]: Smoke suite passed locally (133.47s, 180 passed)
110 lines
8.4 KiB
Markdown
110 lines
8.4 KiB
Markdown
# Deduction-serve arc — Phase 0 baseline (2026-07-23)
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**Goal of the arc.** Ship CORE's first serious end-to-end reasoning workflow:
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```text
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user asks a simple logic question in `core chat`
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-> comprehend the question into typed premises + query
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-> decide it with the verified propositional/syllogism engine (wrong=0)
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-> articulate the verdict as a grounded, deterministic, provenance-tagged answer
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-> replayable, telemetered, governed by an EARNED serve license
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```
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**Base SHA:** `6a54d27a` (main == forgejo/main). Pinned numbers: `deduction-serve-phase0-baseline.json` (sibling).
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This document is the evidence base the rest of the arc rests on. Phase 1 depends on it.
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---
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## The central finding (proven, not asserted)
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**Every organ this workflow needs already exists and is verified wrong=0 — none of them are connected to each other on the serving path.** The arc is *wiring + earned licensing*, not new cognition machinery.
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Demonstrated empirically (probe: `comprehend() -> projector -> independent oracle` vs `ChatRuntime.chat()` on the *same* text):
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| Input | Organs in isolation | Serving path (`ChatRuntime.chat`) today |
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|---|---|---|
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| `If p then q. p. Therefore q.` | `to_deductive_logic` → ROBDD oracle → **entailed** | `grounding_source='pack'`, token-gloss surface, `refusal_reason=''` |
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| `All mammals are animals. All whales are mammals. Therefore all whales are animals.` | `to_syllogism` → oracle → **valid=True** | `grounding_source='pack'`, token-gloss surface |
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The serving surface for a decidable logic argument is literally *"Pack-resident tokens — pack-grounded (en_core_cognition_v1): then (relation.sequence.after; temporal.sequence), therefore (relation.consequence; logic.derivation). No session evidence yet."* — the deductive engine is bypassed entirely; the argument is treated as a bag of vocabulary tokens to gloss, not a problem to decide. It is not even an honest refusal (empty `refusal_reason`).
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This is the disconnection the arc closes.
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---
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## Baseline lane numbers (all wrong=0)
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Comprehension reader lanes (`prose -> comprehend() -> projector -> independent oracle vs gold`):
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| Lane | total | correct | wrong | refused | Band v1? |
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|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|:--:|
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| propositional | 12 | 12 | **0** | 0 | ✅ |
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| syllogism | 8 | 7 | **0** | 1 | ✅ |
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| set_membership | 8 | 8 | **0** | 0 | — |
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| total_ordering | 8 | 7 | **0** | 1 | — |
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| relational_metric | 15 | 15 | **0** | 0 | — |
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| relational_predicate | 18 | 18 | **0** | 0 | — |
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| relational_inference | 13 | 13 | **0** | 0 | — |
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Deductive engine lane (`evals/deductive_logic/report.json`, independent truth-table oracle, INV-25):
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| split | n | correct | wrong | refused |
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|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
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| dev | 200 | 200 | **0** | 0 |
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| holdout_v1 | 500 | 500 | **0** | 0 |
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| external_v1 | 16 | 16 | **0** | 0 |
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| **combined** | **716** | **716** | **0** | **0** |
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`all_correct=true`, `wrong_is_zero=true`.
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ProofWriter-OWA refusal floor (`determine()` soundness): 19 total, 9 correct, **0 wrong**, 10 refused (acceptable coverage misses), 0 coverage gaps.
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Smoke suite (in worktree, cold venv): **180 passed, 0 failed** (133s).
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> Read the numbers honestly: these are small **curated gold corpora** (8–18 cases per comprehension lane), not a large real corpus. wrong=0 proves the organs are *sound on what they read*; the counts show the band is *narrow*. **Reader coverage is the wall, not the engine** — consistent with the standing project note that coverage is corpus-bound, not architecture-bound.
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---
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## Band v1 — precise input boundary (the key scoping result)
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Band v1 = the two endorsed projectors: **propositional** (`to_deductive_logic`) + **syllogism** (`to_syllogism`). Their *natural-language input contract today* is narrower than the plan's illustrative example assumed, and the boundary is worth stating exactly, because it decides Phase 1 scope and Phase 4 widening.
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The reader (`generate/meaning_graph/reader.py`) canonicalizes each noun-phrase slot via `_chunk` (lines 174–190). Its `_RESERVED` set (lines 109–120: `is, are, than, with, not, all, no, some, therefore, the, and, or, …`) makes `_chunk` **refuse any multi-token NP that contains a function word** — a parse-leak guard that refuses rather than chunk junk.
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**Propositional band.** Reads an argument in `P1. P2. Therefore C.` declarative form where **each proposition/atom is a single content token** (`p`, `q`, `r`, or a one-word proposition). It **refuses**:
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- multi-word English propositions like `the ground is wet` → `Refusal('reserved_word_in_np')` (contains `the`, `is`);
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- interrogative propositional `Is q true?` → `Refusal('unreadable_member_query')` (the interrogative-propositional path is not wired; only the syllogism reader handles interrogatives).
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**Syllogism band.** Reads `All/No/Some X are Y` categorical premises with **single-word class terms** (`mammals`, `whales`, `animals`), in **both** the declarative `Therefore all X are Y` form **and** the interrogative `Are all X Y?` form. The syllogism reader is the more natural-language-ready of the two.
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**Consequence for the arc:** "natural-English conditionals" (`If it rains then the ground is wet…`) are **out of Band v1** — they need the multi-word-proposition relaxation, which is Phase 4 widening (relaxing `_chunk`'s reserved-word guard *without* breaking wrong=0), not Phase 1. Band v1 ships the forms that already read: single-token propositional arguments and single-word-term categorical syllogisms.
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---
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## Serving-path seams Phase 1 must touch (verified file:line)
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- **REPL driver:** `core/cli.py::cmd_chat` constructs `ChatRuntime` only (not `CognitiveTurnPipeline`); the turn is `ChatRuntime.chat(text)`. Phase 1 wiring lives in `chat/runtime.py`, the real `core chat` path.
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- **Live comprehension already on the turn path:** `chat/runtime.py:1342` calls `comprehend(text)` / `comprehend_relational(...)`, routing to `determine(...)` or `realize_comprehension(...)` — but **never** calls `to_deductive_logic` / `to_syllogism`. That is the missing edge.
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- **Intent:** `generate/intent.py` `IntentTag` has 12 members; none catches conditional/syllogistic argument shape. A logic argument currently classifies `UNKNOWN` (or is dispatched to the pack token-gloss composer, as observed). Phase 1 adds `IntentTag.DEDUCTION` + deterministic classification, field-ratified like every tag.
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- **Renderer:** `generate/determine/render.py::render_determination` is the sibling pattern; Phase 1 adds a deduction renderer for ENTAILED / REFUTED / UNKNOWN / REFUSED (deterministic templates, no LLM — honesty bar endorsed).
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- **Surface precedence:** `docs/specs/runtime_contracts.md` "Current selection policy" gains `deduction_surface`; contract tests updated in the same PR. Trace-hash folds only-when-non-empty so legacy hashes stay byte-identical.
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- **Fail-closed (INV-34):** reader `Refusal` → typed refusal surface; projector `None` / oracle `REFUSED` → honest `out_of_decidable_regime`; never a fluent-but-ungrounded surface.
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- **Flag:** all Phase 1 behavior behind `deduction_serve` (default off), byte-identical when off.
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## What Phase 0 confirms is already handled (no work needed)
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- **W-012 is fixed:** `chat/runtime.py:2692-2705` catches `InnerLoopExhaustion` and materializes a typed `refusal_reason`. (The zone card's "still lacking except" note is stale.)
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- **Engine is telemetry-wired but surface-inert:** `pipeline.py:1203` runs `evaluate_entailment_with_trace` on precise VERIFICATION triples, folded into `operator_invocation` only — never the surface. Confirms the engine is trusted evidence, just not a decider on the serving path.
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## Scope-outs (documented, not on this arc's critical path)
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- **ADR-0246 §3.7 identity-wave calibration stays OFF** — blocked on §11 grounding *research evidence* (currently NULL; benign false-refusal 1.00; no benign/adversarial separation), not wiring.
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- **Tier-2 two-reader convergence** waits for the field reader (Phase W); today's two registered readers operate on disjoint domains and never co-decide.
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- **Reader→Hamiltonian compiler** stays eval-side (its real-NL reach is 5/500); it is not this workflow's vehicle.
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---
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## Verdict
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Phase 0 complete. Baseline pinned, all lanes wrong=0, smoke green, Band v1 boundary defined precisely, the crux disconnection proven with a runnable probe. **Proceed to Phase 1** (deduction turn spine behind `deduction_serve`), scoped to the two forms that already read: single-token propositional arguments and single-word-term categorical syllogisms.
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