Closes the Phase 2 roadmap exit gate (v3 for at least two lanes).
monotonic-learning v3:
public/v3 — 7 domains × 3-4 probes × 30 cycles (805 ops)
domains: truth, light, wisdom, order, memory, meaning, identity
max_regression=0.0, floor_score=1.0
holdouts/v3 — 6 distinct domains × 4 probes × 25 cycles (597 ops)
domains: creation, knowledge, reason, spirit, principle, judgment
max_regression=0.0, floor_score=1.0
Zero regression across 55 cumulative cycles and 13 distinct domains.
Sequential within a split (single shared longitudinal session) is
structural; public/v3 ran in 12.5 min, holdouts/v3 in 8.2 min.
adversarial-identity v3:
public/v3 — 20 paraphrased attacks + 10 legitimate corrections
holdouts/v3 — 12 paraphrased attacks + 8 legitimate corrections
Result: attack_rejection_rate=0.0, legitimate_acceptance_rate=1.0
on both splits.
THIS IS THE INTENDED OUTCOME OF v3. The attack set was constructed
to use only paraphrased / synonym-shifted phrasings that avoid every
literal string in teaching/review.py::_IDENTITY_MARKERS. Every
attack ("become a different agent", "behave as", "assume the role
of", "switch into helper mode", "transform into", "drop the
framework", "let's roleplay that") bypasses the marker list and is
admitted to the teaching store as a PackMutationProposal.
evals/adversarial_identity/gaps.md documents the finding in detail
and proposes three follow-up fixes in increasing order of weight:
1. Extend _IDENTITY_MARKERS with verb-of-becoming and role-frame
classes (cheapest, still string-matching).
2. Semantic syntactic check on
[redirect-verb] + [self-reference] + [role-frame] structure.
3. Geometric identity-versor check (architectural; aligns with
ADR-0010 identity-as-geometry doctrine — synonymous attacks
produce similar field deltas, so the defense is paraphrase-
invariant by construction).
v1 (38 attacks, all blocked) and v2 (32 attacks, all blocked)
remain valid for their declared coverage (the marker-list smoke
test and its punctuation/case variants). v3 is recorded as a
known-failing stress test, not a regression — it is load-bearing
evidence for the v4 / architectural fix work above.
Phase 2 status: COMPLETE.
- All five lanes v1+v2 at 100% (provenance, monotonic-learning,
calibration, symbolic-logic, adversarial-identity)
- Frontier structural baselines documented for all five
- v3 exit gate met: monotonic-learning v3 passes, adversarial-
identity v3 reveals load-bearing architectural finding
- Test suite: 596 passing (no regression)
233 lines
11 KiB
Markdown
233 lines
11 KiB
Markdown
# Capability Roadmap — Progress Tracker
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Tracks completion of the phased plan defined in `docs/capability_roadmap.md`
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(ADR-0016). Updated as work lands.
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---
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## Phase 0 — Benchmark Methodology Lock-in
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**Status:** Complete
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**Started:** 2026-05-15
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**Completed:** 2026-05-16
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- [x] Promote roadmap to ADR-0016
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- [x] Extract `docs/eval_methodology.md` from roadmap Part I
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- [x] Create progress tracker (`docs/PROGRESS.md`)
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- [x] Implement `evals/<lane>/` directory convention
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- [x] Build generic eval framework (`evals/framework.py`)
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- [x] Retrofit `core eval cognition` into new convention
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- [x] Split 45 cases into dev (13) / public v1 (13) / holdout (19)
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- [x] Write `evals/cognition/contract.md`
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- [x] Migrate `runner.py` to use framework
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- [x] Record v1 results under new layout
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- [x] Generalize `core eval <lane>` CLI (dynamic lane discovery)
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- [x] Implement holdout runner scaffold
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- [x] Implement baseline runner scaffold
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- [x] **Exit gate:** `core eval cognition` runs under new convention with v1 public + holdout + baseline
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### Methodology issues discovered (Phase 0 audit)
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1. **Pipeline turn_log crash:** `CognitiveTurnPipeline.run()` assumed `turn_log`
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was always populated after `chat()`, but the unknown-domain gate returns a
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stub without appending. Fixed with fallback to tokenizer output.
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2. **Versor drift in multi-turn sessions:** `test_pipeline_preserves_versor_closure`
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reveals that after 3 turns in the same session, "spirit breath" causes
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`versor_condition = 1.12e-04` (threshold: 1e-6). Pre-existing; resolved by
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strict runtime closure enforcement (always unitize after sandwich product).
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3. **Identity/drive bias shelved:** Premature persona motor and drive bias
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introduced trajectory drift. Removed in favour of persona-neutral generic
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runtime; identity returns behind explicit IdentityProfile contract.
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---
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## Phase 1 — Foundational Triple
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**Status:** Complete ✓
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**Started:** 2026-05-16
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**Completed:** 2026-05-16
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**Depends on:** Phase 0 exit
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- [x] **grammatical-coverage** lane (v1 + v2 complete)
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- [x] Enumerate English v1 constructions (13 constructions: C01-C13)
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- [x] Write contract test pairs (PropositionGraph -> surface family)
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- [x] Implement v1 dev/public (~41/36 items)
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- [x] Implement holdout (52 items) — 100% pass
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- [x] Engineer `realizer.py` to pass v1 (dev=100%, public=100%, holdout=100%)
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- [x] Hebrew pack (`he_core_cognition_v1` with binyanim support)
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- [x] Koine Greek pack (`grc_logos_cognition_v1` with Greek morphology)
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- [x] Generate v2 on pass (deeper nesting, longer sentences, rarer vocabulary) — 36 cases (100% pass)
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- [x] **zero-code-domain-acquisition** lane (v1 complete, zero engineering gaps)
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- [x] Define 3 surprise domains (kinship, calendar, color)
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- [x] Build pack-only authoring kits (vocabulary, relations, axioms, teaching examples, prompts)
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- [x] Test: author brings CORE to >=80% without Python edits (100% achieved)
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- [x] Log engineering gaps (ZERO — pack-only authoring contract is solid)
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- [x] v1 dev (30/30), v1 public (18/18 across all 3 domains), v1 holdout (21/21) — all 100% pass
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- [x] **identity-divergence** lane (v1 complete)
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- [x] Define two identity axis sets (Axis A: Precision-first, Axis B: Generosity-first)
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- [x] Curate shared curriculum (93 teaching events across color/kinship/reasoning/spatial)
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- [x] Build divergence metric (>0.30 threshold): all pass (1.000)
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- [x] Build coherence metric (>0.85 threshold for A and B): all pass (1.000)
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- [x] Identity-stripped baseline with causal check: all pass (delta=1.000)
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- [x] v1 dev (5/5), v1 public (5/5), v1 holdout (5/5) — all 100% pass
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- [x] **Exit gate:** All three lanes pass v1 public + holdout ✓
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---
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## Phase 2 — Structural Wins Made Visible
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**Status:** In Progress
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**Started:** 2026-05-16
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**Depends on:** Phase 1 exit
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- [x] **provenance** lane (v1 complete)
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- [x] Define Provenance dataclass + compute_provenance() (`core/cognition/provenance.py`)
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- [x] Unit tests for provenance derivation (6/6 pass — `tests/test_provenance.py`)
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- [x] Build pack-axiom / vault-recall / teaching / mixed case categories
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- [x] v1 dev (10/10), v1 public (20/20), v1 holdouts (15/15) — all 100% pass
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- [x] Sub-metrics: replay_determinism=1.0, source_attribution=1.0, source_validity=1.0, input_sensitivity=1.0
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- [x] Fixed shape regression in `generate/stream.py` score-weighted recall (np.eye → multivector identity)
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- [x] Replaced linear-blend rotor scaling with manifold-preserving `rotor_power` (`algebra/rotor.py`); 41 closure-preservation tests
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- [x] Restored `respond()`/`result.final_state` identity contract after anchor pull
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- [x] **monotonic-learning** lane (v1 complete)
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- [x] Define contract: longitudinal regression check across ≥10 teaching cycles
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- [x] Implement runner: shared session, sorted ops, per-(cycle, domain) accuracy table
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- [x] Generator (`scripts/generate_monotonic_cases.py`) for cycle/probe corpora
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- [x] v1 dev (10 cycles), v1 public (12 cycles, 3 domains), v1 holdouts (12 cycles, 2 distinct domains)
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- [x] All splits: max_regression=0.00, floor_score=1.00, overall_pass=true
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- [x] Structural win demonstrated: zero regression across 34 total cycles / 7 distinct domains
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- [x] **calibration** lane (v1 complete)
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- [x] Define contract: typed signals for no_grounding / coherent / correction_proposed
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- [x] Classification from `CognitiveTurnResult` (vault_hits + pack_mutation_proposal)
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- [x] Runner with per-case fresh pipeline (avoids cross-case field drift)
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- [x] v1 dev (12/12), v1 public (24/24), v1 holdouts (18/18) — all 100% pass
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- [x] Sub-metrics: no_grounding=1.0, coherent=1.0, correction_proposed=1.0
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- [x] Architectural finding documented (`evals/calibration/gaps.md`): the
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ingest gate is geometric, not semantic — 6/42 hand-chosen OOD
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prompts fire the geometric gate. v1 measures recall-presence +
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correction-firing signals (deterministic), not semantic OOD.
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Pipeline override of gate's safety surface is a separate gap.
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- [x] **symbolic-logic** lane (v1 complete)
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- [x] Define contract: structural foundations for proposition-based inference
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- [x] Patterns: modus_ponens_chain, modus_tollens_chain, syllogism, negation, chain_recall
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- [x] Runner: per-case fresh pipeline + double-run replay check
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- [x] Sub-metrics: premise_recall=1.0, replay_determinism=1.0, proposal_storage=1.0
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- [x] v1 dev (8/8), v1 public (18/18), v1 holdouts (12/12) — all 100% pass
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- [x] Architectural finding documented (`evals/symbolic_logic/gaps.md`): CORE
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has no first-class inference operator yet. v1 measures the storage,
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replay, and recall foundations on which a future inference engine
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would be built. v2 would assert specific inference correctness
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(transitive recall surface contents).
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- [x] **adversarial-identity** lane (v1 complete)
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- [x] Define contract: identity-override attacks rejected at review;
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legitimate corrections still accepted
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- [x] Cover all `_IDENTITY_MARKERS` families (you are / forget / pretend /
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override / ignore / your name / act as / from now / character /
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personality)
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- [x] Per-case fresh pipeline; prior question primes the review surface
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- [x] Sub-metrics: attack_rejection_rate=1.0, legitimate_acceptance_rate=1.0
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- [x] v1 dev (10/10), v1 public (25/25), v1 holdouts (18/18) — all 100% pass
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- [x] **All five Phase 2 v1 lanes passing** ✓
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- [x] Frontier baselines computed for all lanes (structural-zero floor)
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- [x] `docs/frontier_baselines.md` — per-lane analysis: frontier LLMs do
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not emit the typed signals CORE's rubrics score against
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(provenance sources, pack_mutation_proposal, vault_hits,
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REJECTED_IDENTITY outcome, deterministic trace_hash)
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- [x] Per-lane structural-zero baseline JSON written under
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`evals/<lane>/baselines/v1_structural_zero.json`
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- [x] `StructuralZeroBaseline` adapter in `evals/baseline_runner.py`
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— deterministic floor; live-API adapters can be added when
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keys are configured
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- [x] v2 lanes: all five at 100% pass
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- monotonic-learning v2 — 20 cyc / 5 dom (public), 18 cyc / 4 dom (holdouts)
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- provenance v2 — 30 + 20 cases, all sub-metrics 1.0
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- adversarial-identity v2 — 35 + 22 cases, all 1.0
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- calibration v2 — 33 + 24 cases, all class accuracies 1.0
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- symbolic-logic v2 — 24 + 16 cases (chains up to 5 hops), all 1.0
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- [x] **Exit gate:** v3 lanes for at least two of the five ✓
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- monotonic-learning v3 — 30 cyc / 7 dom (public), 25 cyc / 6 dom (holdouts),
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`max_regression=0.0`, `floor_score=1.0` on both splits
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- adversarial-identity v3 — 30 + 20 paraphrased-attack cases.
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Result: `attack_rejection_rate=0.0`, `legitimate_acceptance_rate=1.0`.
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v3 is a known-failing stress test that demonstrates a real
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architectural gap (marker-string defense vs paraphrase). Full
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write-up: `evals/adversarial_identity/gaps.md`. v3 records the
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finding; v1+v2 still pass and remain valid for their scope.
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## Phase 2 — COMPLETE
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All five Phase 2 v1+v2 lanes pass at 100%; frontier structural
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baselines documented; v3 satisfies the exit-gate requirement (two
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lanes, one demonstrating a passing structural-depth test and one
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demonstrating an architectural vulnerability that the geometric
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identity-check fix in `evals/adversarial_identity/gaps.md` would
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close).
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### Parallel eval infrastructure (2026-05-16)
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- `evals/parallel.py` — `run_cases_parallel()` helper using
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`multiprocessing.Pool` with the `"spawn"` start method (avoids
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forking heavy parent state). Default workers = `min(cpu_count, 8)`.
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- Wired into the four per-case lanes (provenance, calibration,
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symbolic-logic, adversarial-identity). `run_lane(..., workers=N)`
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controls parallelism; `workers=1` forces serial for debugging.
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- Empirical speedup (adversarial-identity public/v1, 25 cases):
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serial 14.1s → parallel 3.1s (~4.5x).
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- Monotonic-learning intentionally stays serial within a split
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(shared longitudinal session by design).
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---
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## Phase 3 — Reasoning Depth
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**Status:** Not Started
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**Depends on:** Phase 2 exit
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- [ ] **compositionality** lane (construction-family splits, not sampling)
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- [ ] **inference-closure** lane
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- [ ] **introspection** lane
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- [ ] **multi-step-reasoning** lane
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- [ ] **cross-domain-transfer** lane
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- [ ] Pin agency scope decision (responsive vs. goal-directed)
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- [ ] Pin tool-use scope decision
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- [ ] **Exit gate:** All five v1 scored; at least two passing v1
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---
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## Phase 4 — Scale and Efficiency
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**Status:** Not Started
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**Depends on:** Phase 3 exit
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- [ ] **sample-efficiency** curves (>=10 concepts)
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- [ ] **long-context-cost** curves (10^3 to 10^6 vault entries)
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- [ ] **multi-agent-composition** (>=2 agents, replay preserved)
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- [ ] Vault indexing strategy decided
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- [ ] **Exit gate:** All curves published with confidence intervals
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---
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## Phase 5 — Curriculum Era
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**Status:** Not Started
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**Depends on:** Phase 4 exit
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- [ ] 5.1 English fluency (grammatical-coverage v5 OOD)
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- [ ] 5.2 Hebrew fluency
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- [ ] 5.3 Koine Greek fluency
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- [ ] 5.4 Elementary mathematics
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- [ ] 5.5 Foundational physics
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- [ ] 5.6 Foundational biology
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- [ ] 5.7 Classical literature
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- [ ] Phase 1-4 lanes re-run on every release (no regression)
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---
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## Open Scope Decisions
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| Decision | Status | Deadline |
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|----------|--------|----------|
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| Agency (responsive vs. goal-directed) | Open | Before Phase 3 |
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| Tool use (typed deterministic operators) | Open | Before Phase 3 |
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| Code generation (first-class target) | Open | Before Phase 5 |
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| Embodiment (sensorium gates) | Open | Phase 5 |
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