core/docs/decisions/BRIEF-11D-next-capability-proposal.md
Shay bb8ea3bbf9
docs(brief-11/11D): next-capability proposal — comparison + recommendation (#346)
Closes the Brief 11 sequence with a decision artifact (not a roadmap)
selecting the next capability after GSM8K Phase 2 reader closure.

Four candidates compared against ADR-0166's three-question test:
- A. Continued GSM8K operator closure
- B. Cross-domain reader generalization
- C. Tool-use trace integration
- D. Workbench demo hardening

Recommendation: continued GSM8K operator closure, starting with the
`lexicon_entry` row of the Brief 11B audit. The only candidate that
passes Q1/Q2/Q3 cleanly today and has an explicit Round-3 finish line.

Docs-only. No code, no test, no eval, no pack change.
2026-05-27 05:59:10 -07:00

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BRIEF-11D — Next-Capability Proposal (post GSM8K reader closure)

Status: Proposed (decision artifact) Date: 2026-05-27 Author: Shay Anchor: thesis-decoding-not-generating Parent brief: BRIEF-11 Gating rule: ADR-0166 — Measurement-Capability Sequencing Discipline


Purpose

Pick the single next capability to land after the Phase 2 reader closure pass (Brief 11B-step-2 + 11C snapshot). One choice. Defended. Three rejected with reasons. Per Brief 11 §"lead engineer has a yes/no decision artifact, not another sprawling roadmap."

ADR-0166's three-question test gates every candidate:

  • Q1 What capability does this build before measurement?
  • Q2 What existing lane validates it? (No new lanes.)
  • Q3 What invariant proves wrong=0 / closure / determinism?

Candidates

Candidate A — Continued GSM8K operator closure

Extend the comprehension reader (ADR-0164) for the remaining bottleneck classes from audit_brief_11.md: multi_quantity_composition (8), quantity_extraction (9), fraction_percentage_literal (3), comparatives, rate parsing. Mechanical, per-frame work in generate/comprehension/.

  • Q1 — Capability: Each frame is a new composition rule on the existing ComprehensionState machine. The reader, state shape, and lexicon pack already exist on main; this is operator-level extension.
  • Q2 — Lane: evals/gsm8k_math/train_sample/v1 (canonical, in place). Capability-axis G1G5, S1 lanes act as the regression net.
  • Q3 — Invariant: wrong == 0 by construction (admissibility + unit-proof + multi-branch-disagreement refusal stay in force). Determinism: frozen-dataclass state + canonical-bytes serialization → byte-equal trace hash on rerun. Closure: bottleneck audit row count strictly decreases.

Candidate B — Cross-domain reader generalization

Port the incremental comprehension reader pattern to a non-math domain (e.g. en_core_relations_v1 kinship statements or en_core_cognition_v1 belief statements) to prove the architecture isn't math-overfit. Authors a sibling lexicon pack and a parallel state machine.

  • Q1 — Capability: A second reader instance, sharing the ComprehensionState abstraction but with a domain lexicon + frame rules. Reader machinery is generic; domain coupling is the test.
  • Q2 — Lane: Existing evals/identity_divergence/ and the cognition-axis lanes consume relations/cognition packs today. No new lane required.
  • Q3 — Invariant: Same admissibility + refusal contract as the math reader; pack-level mastery report + manifest checksum + byte-equal trace hash. But: the math reader has not yet cleared its first capability gate (GSM8K Round-2 exit correct ≥ 25). ADR-0166 §"Forbidden work" — measurement of a generalization before the original capability is anchored produces noise, not signal.

Candidate C — Tool-use trace integration

Let the engine invoke deterministic tools (calculator, unit canonicalizer, ratified-pack lookup) within a turn and record the invocation in the trace. Hardens the teaching corridor by giving contemplation a deterministic compute primitive.

  • Q1 — Capability: A typed ToolCall record on the turn trace, whitelisted to deterministic pure-function tools (no network, no filesystem, no LLM), with replay-equivalence guarantees.
  • Q2 — Lane: None of the existing canonical lanes exercise tool-use. evals/long_context_cost/ and capability-axis lanes measure end-to-end accuracy, not intermediate compute. Adding a lane would violate ADR-0166. Existing teaching-corridor tests (evals/identity_divergence/, evals/cognition/) do not branch on tool presence — so they cannot distinguish capability-present from capability-absent.
  • Q3 — Invariant: wrong == 0 extends only if every tool is pure and deterministic. Determinism: tool output canonicalized into trace hash. Closure: undefined — the set of useful tools is open-ended.

Candidate D — Workbench demo hardening

Make the read-only operator UI (ADR-0160/0162) load-bearing for HITL ratification (ADR-0161), replay theater (W-031), and proposal queue (W-029). Moves the workbench from demo-tier to operator-tier infrastructure.

  • Q1 — Capability: Surface-level integration of already-shipped backend mechanisms (ratification queue, contemplation candidates, replay). No new operator, no new recognizer, no new composition rule.
  • Q2 — Lane: Workbench has no canonical capability lane in Tier 3 or capability-axis tables; it is operator-facing infra, not a measured capability. ADR-0166 §"Boundaries" — the rule governs eval lanes; UI work is out of scope for this ADR but also out of scope for Brief 11's "next capability" question.
  • Q3 — Invariant: Determinism inherited from the underlying ratification + replay paths. wrong == 0 not directly applicable — workbench is an inspector, not an admitter. Closure: W-029/W-031 acceptance criteria, not capability closure.

Recommendation

Recommended next: Candidate A — Continued GSM8K operator closure.

Why it beats the others on lift-per-risk

  1. Three-question test passes cleanly. Capability exists (reader scaffolding on main); lane exists (gsm8k_math/train_sample/v1 with a real baseline at 3/47/0 today, the Phase 2 closure baseline after 11B-step-2); the invariant is mechanical (wrong == 0 by construction + determinism by frozen state).
  2. The bottleneck audit names the work. audit_brief_11.md has already ranked the highest-leverage missing operators (lexicon_entry: 9, multi_quantity_composition: 8, quantity_extraction: 9). The backlog is queued, sized, and risk-categorized.
  3. It is the only candidate that converges. Phase 2 reader closure has an explicit exit criterion (ADR-0163 Round-3 correct ≥ 35, wrong = 0). The work has a finish line. Candidates B, C, D do not — each opens new surface area.
  4. It unblocks every other candidate. ADR-0166 §"Forbidden work" rejects authoring lanes/generalizations ahead of the capability that produces signal. Math reader closure is the gate every other candidate inherits.

Rejection rationale

  • B (cross-domain reader) — Generalizing the reader before the math reader clears Round-2 (correct ≥ 25) measures a generalization of an unanchored capability. The cross-domain result would be uninterpretable: a refusal could mean either the pattern doesn't generalize or the underlying reader is still under-built. Defer until math reader clears Round-3.
  • C (tool-use trace integration) — Fails Q2 (no existing lane distinguishes tool-present from tool-absent) and Q3 (closure is undefined). The mechanism is conceptually clean but ADR-0166 forbids building a capability whose signal would require a new lane to register. Revisit once a math problem class demonstrably refuses for reasons a calculator would resolve — that grounds the tool surface in real data.
  • D (workbench demo hardening) — UI work is not a capability in the ADR-0166 sense. It does not advance listen → comprehend → recall → think → articulate → learn. It hardens a viewing surface for mechanisms that already work. Worth doing when the operator workflow demands it; not the next capability commit.

First sub-PR scope

Branch: feat/brief-12a-lexicon-entry-closure Target: audit_brief_11.md row lexicon_entry: 9 (lowest-risk, highest-count, cannot create wrong admissions without also passing graph-completeness — per audit §"Highest-leverage backlog").

Deliverables (single PR):

  • 9 lexicon entries added to en_core_math_v1 with a manifest checksum bump and deterministic ordering.
  • Pack test pinning the 9 new lemmas + their semantic categories.
  • Reader rerun on train_sample/v1 showing the 9 cases move from unknown_word either to admitted (preferred) or to a different refusal class (acceptable — surfaces the next gap).
  • wrong == 0 preserved.

Exit: correct rises by some amount ≥ 0, and the unknown_word row in the audit taxonomy strictly decreases. Refusal taxonomy may grow at other rows — that is real new work becoming visible, not regression.

Dependencies

  • Blocked on: Brief 11B-step-2 (the two in-flight closure-fix branches) merging to main. The audit artifact and reader scaffolding must be the version 11D operates against.
  • Blocked on: Brief 11C (capability snapshot) producing the post-closure baseline. The first 11D sub-PR's delta is measured against that baseline, not the pre-closure 3/47/0.
  • Independent of: Workbench work (Candidate D), tool-use scoping (Candidate C), and any cross-domain reader prototype (Candidate B). Those remain backlog.

Definition of "decided"

This document is a decision artifact, not a roadmap. The decision recorded here:

The next capability after GSM8K reader Phase 2 closure is continued GSM8K operator closure, starting with the lexicon_entry row of the Brief 11B audit. No new lanes. No cross-domain prototype. No tool-use scoping. No workbench promotion. Revisit candidates B/C/D after the math reader clears ADR-0163 Round-3 (correct ≥ 35, wrong = 0).

Reopening this decision requires either:

  1. The first 11D sub-PR fails to register signal (audit unknown_word row does not shrink), indicating the lexicon-entry path is not the right next step, or
  2. The math reader clears Round-3 ahead of expectation, retiring Candidate A and bringing B/C/D back into scope.

Cross-references

  • ADR-0166 — the three-question test this document answers four times.
  • ADR-0164 — the architecture this recommendation extends.
  • BRIEF-11 §"Failure modes to avoid §3" — eval surface inflation; this document declines to inflate it.
  • evals/gsm8k_math/train_sample/v1/audit_brief_11.md — the bottleneck table the first sub-PR attacks.
  • SESSION-2026-05-27-tier3-sequencing — the narrative grounding for "capability before measurement, measurement before expansion."