The final AGI-spine step (A INSTRUMENT → B WIRE → C DEEPEN → D CLOSE → E ESTIMATION).
The engine may now SERVE a DISCLOSED estimate for a query it would otherwise refuse —
but only for a predicate-class that has measured itself reliable, and never as fact.
This executes the ADR-0206 §5 cognition-path widening: the bridge's LICENSE node
(reliability_gate.license_for), previously "built — not yet called from serving", is now
called. govern_response returns APPROXIMATE iff a genuine licensed Action.SERVE
LicenseDecision is passed (STRICT for every other input — so every existing serving call
site is byte-identical); shape_surface DISCLOSES the estimate as "[approximate] …".
Mechanism:
- generate/determine/estimate.py — a BLIND converse-guesser: told p(a,b), asked p(b,a),
it commits the converse. It never reads the pack's symmetry metadata; whether the guess
is right is MEASURED, not assumed.
- evals/determination_estimation/ — the gold lane: run_practice (sealed, ADR-0199) folds
the converse-guesser over symmetric (sibling_of) vs directed (parent_of) cases, scored
against the pack's graph.edge.symmetric truth (gold independent of the solver). The gate
DISCRIMINATES: sibling_of earns SERVE (660 correct → Wilson floor 0.990046 ≥ θ_SERVE),
parent_of does not (660 wrong → 0.0). The license is earned by VOLUME — 657 perfect
commits is the exact θ_SERVE=0.99 threshold (656 is below).
- generate/determine/data/estimation_ledger.json — the ratified committed ledger,
hash-verified on load (a hand-edited ledger raises RatifiedLedgerError); it IS the
deterministic sealed-practice output (a GSM8K-style --check test pins this).
- chat/runtime.py — when a converse query is refused and the class holds a SERVE license,
the disclosed estimate is surfaced through the bridge (gated by config.estimation_enabled,
default OFF; only meaningful with accrue_realized_knowledge).
Invariants:
- wrong=0 by construction — an estimate is ALWAYS disclosed ([approximate]), never a silent
commit (UNVERIFIED_POSSIBLE is never in APPROXIMATE's admissible set), and only a genuine
ratified license widens (a forged {"licensed":True} dict / a PROPOSE license / an
unlicensed SERVE all stay STRICT). Defense-in-depth: type-gate ∧ admissible-set ∧
hardcoded disclosed state.
- never self-authored — ceilings stay at safe defaults (θ_SERVE=0.99); the engine cannot
raise its own bar. The ledger is sealed practice, hash-verified.
- session/serving only — no corpus/pack/identity/proposal/vault mutation; the HITL teaching
path is untouched. Deterministic; no clock/random.
- byte-identical for every non-E turn (the 2643 govern_response call passes no license).
Out of scope (separate ADR-0206 §5 PRs): the math-serving seam (select_self_verified,
touches the sealed metric), SITUATE (stakes), and the live FEED-BACK loop.
Verified green: smoke (90), architectural invariants (56), response_governance (321,
incl. the new license-gated widening test), the determination-estimation lane (12), and
the B/D/determine regression net. Four-lens adversarial review (disclosure/wrong=0,
calibration integrity, byte-identity, boundary/determinism): all held. Design:
docs/analysis/E-estimation-design-2026-06-06.md.
CLOSE the autonomous-loop spine: when idle, the engine consolidates each
soundly-derived determination back into the held self, so the next determine()
reaches it directly and can chain one hop further. The directly-answerable set
climbs monotonically across idle ticks to the deductive-closure fixed point.
Mechanism — generate/determine/consolidate.py::consolidate_once runs ONE
semi-naive layer of the member/subset deductive closure (member∘subset → member,
subset∘subset → subset; NEVER member∘member — instance-of is not transitive).
Each one-hop conclusion not yet realized is VERIFIED by the sound+complete
proof_chain ROBDD (reusing C's single verifier _verify_subsumption) and written
back via generate/realize::realize_derived as a SPECULATIVE realized record
carrying derived-provenance (premise structure_keys + rule + the ENTAILED
verdict). idle_tick gains a consolidation pass gated by the new
config.consolidate_determinations (default OFF); IdleTickResult.facts_consolidated
reports the layer.
Invariants held:
- wrong=0 — every consolidated fact is a sound-rule conclusion confirmed by the
sound+complete decider; member∘member is structurally unreachable (a member fact
is only ever extended by a subset edge). _verify_subsumption now refuses a
mislabeled/wrong-arity path (belt-and-suspenders now that consolidation is a
second caller), so the fallacy cannot be laundered through a corrupted chain.
- honesty — a fact derived from SPECULATIVE premises stays SPECULATIVE / as-told;
the soundness of the inference never upgrades the standing of the premises.
COHERENT is never minted.
- teaching-safety — SESSION memory (immediate), an extension of the realize path;
NOT corpus mutation and NOT coupled to proposals. The HITL path is untouched.
- determinism/replay — pure function of the realized set; sorted write order;
derived structure_key identical to a told fact's; provenance round-trips through
the Shape B+ snapshot (consolidated facts resume the SAME life across reboot).
- no new normalization — writes reuse the INV-21-allowed vault writer;
algebra/versor.py keeps closure.
Falsification — evals/determination_closure: a frozen replay seeds a deep is-a
chain and runs idle ticks; asserts the closure climbs monotonically to a complete
fixed point (no-op final tick), wrong=0 (member∘member canary never derived, no
fabricated membership), all derived facts SPECULATIVE, and every derived record
re-verifies ENTAILED from its recorded premises.
Verified green: smoke, runtime, cognition, architectural invariants, plus the new
D unit + lane tests and the determine/realize/persistence regression net. Five-lens
adversarial review: 4 lenses held; the 5th (normalization) was a misattribution
(pre-existing vault reproject, triggered identically by the merged realize path,
on sanctioned null-vector storage). Design + findings: docs/analysis/
D-close-consolidation-design-2026-06-06.md.
DETERMINE was one-hop. C answers a member/subset query that holds by SOUND transitive
subsumption when direct entailment misses: member∘subset* and subset∘subset (the
Description-Logic is-a rules). 'Socrates is a man. All men are mortal. Is Socrates
mortal?' -> yes, as told.
wrong=0 hazard surfaced and closed: member∘member is NOT transitive (instance-of vs
subclass-of) — 'Socrates is a man. Man is a species.' does NOT entail 'Socrates is a
species'. That rule is NEVER an edge, so the fallacy is unreachable (bite-tested). The
reader's member/subset split (X is a Y vs all Xs are Ys) is exactly the instance-of/
subclass-of distinction that makes the included rules sound.
Mechanism: SEARCH-then-VERIFY. Reachability over the sound edges finds the chain, then
the proof_chain ROBDD verifies that chain's propositional entailment (O(path) premises).
Full O(n³) grounding into proof_chain was tried and rejected: it overruns the
canonicalizer's per-conjunct recursion, and transitive closure is reachability, not
general SAT. Search-then-verify scales (11-hop chain determines in ~2ms) and keeps the
sound+complete decider as the wrong=0 verifier + proof artifact.
subset is now a supported direct-entailment predicate (a told subset(a,b) answers it);
the other categoricals (disjoint/intersects/some_not) stay excluded. Two existing tests
updated accordingly (subset->ungrounded, disjoint stays unsupported_query).
When accrue_realized_knowledge is on and a question turn is Determined over realized
knowledge, the user-facing surface IS that answer (generate.determine.render_determination):
'Yes — as I was told, truth is a concept.' The realizer's articulation_surface is
RETAINED as evidence — the determination is a user-facing SELECTION (like the
unknown-domain gate), not a rewrite. An Undetermined turn keeps the default
articulation surface (the honest 'I don't know'); flag-off never takes this path.
Basis is rendered honestly: SPECULATIVE grounds read 'as I was told', never 'verified'
(D0 only asserts answer=True, so the surface is an affirmation — no fabricated or
asserted-False string). Selection only: no field op, no normalization, proposes no
learning (HITL untouched).
Updates docs/runtime_contracts.md selection policy + adds the contract test in the
same PR (per the surface-contract discipline).
First consumer of en_core_relational_predicates_v1: a fail-closed sibling reader
that maps '<A> is [the] <connective> <B>' onto the pack's closed predicate
vocabulary (parent_of, less_than, left_of, before_event, ...), producing a standard
Comprehension. realize_comprehension consumes it unchanged; determine's guard widens
from the single 'member' predicate to a CLOSED direct-entailment set (member + the
ground binary relational predicates), keeping categorical/propositional predicates
soundly excluded.
Direct entailment only — no transitive/symmetric/rule inference (symmetric-converse
questions are a sound-but-incomplete refusal, never a faked assertion). Only the
predicate is closed-vocabulary; arguments may be OOV. The pack is loaded explicitly,
not default-mounted.
wrong=0 bites: reader refuses non-template/negated/pack-absent surfaces; determine
asserts only on direct entailment and excludes categorical predicates.
The honest gear (roadmap Step 4). `determine(question: Comprehension | Refusal, ctx)`
answers a membership question ("Is X a Y?") ONLY from what the held self has already
REALIZED (R1a structural recall) — never from the field, an LLM, or absence.
Honesty (from the design review): every realizable record is SPECULATIVE, and
ADMISSIBLE_AS_EVIDENCE = {COHERENT}, so a determination grounded in SPECULATIVE records
carries `basis="as_told"` — "based on what I was told (unverified)", NEVER "verified".
Until COHERENT promotion exists (out of scope), D0 produces only as-told assertions or
typed `Undetermined` refusals. No estimation; no corpus mutation (teaching stays HITL
proposal-only).
Soundness (open-world, wrong=0): D0 asserts an answer ONLY on DIRECT structural
entailment by a realized fact; absence never refutes (so it never asserts a positive
answer from missing knowledge — it refuses). It asserts only `answer=True` on a direct
hit; it never asserts False. Negated questions and non-`member` queries are an explicit
`Undetermined` — D0 ships no entailment path the reader cannot exercise.
Tests (test_determine_d0.py, 8) BITE: present-but-non-entailing (a record about the
subject exists but not the asked relation) MUST refuse; the same question against a
fresh context with no realized fact flips Determined→Undetermined (the verdict is
entailment, not mere presence); the negated + unsupported-query refusals are exercised
via hand-built queries (the reader refuses them upstream, so a comprehend-based test
would pass vacuously). Independent of #593: reasons over R0/R1 `member` facts only.
