Ratified by Joshua Shay 2026-07-26. All nine rules are implemented and merged to
main @ 803703fc: R5-R7 (#120), R9 (#117), R1-R4/R8 (#125). The status line names
the enforcement pins so the record points at what holds it up.
Also discharges a staleness the ratification would otherwise have blessed. §4.1's
heading — "No curriculum band can earn a SERVE license under the current
architecture" — is NO LONGER TRUE of the running system, and it was falsified by
this ADR's own R5: the finding rested on "the premise cap holds a family to <=16
chains", and query-scoped compilation removed that cap. Post-R5, four bands would
earn SERVE the moment a ledger is sealed. Leaving that heading unqualified in an
Accepted ADR is precisely the ADR-0256 shape — a governance record asserting
something false about live code.
The §4.1 CONCLUSION survives, for a different and stronger reason, and the note
says so: reliability is commitment precision and a correct UNKNOWN is a
commitment, so a band clears theta_SERVE on non-commitments alone
(conservative_floor(660,660)=0.990046). Licensable evidence is 99.0-99.98%
non-entailed; max entailed volume in any band is 9. So §4.1's "≥97.6%
non-entailed" arithmetic was directionally right and its CAUSE was wrong — it is
not the premise cap that makes a curriculum license dishonest, it is the absence
of a mix rule. The binding constraint is now the outcome-mix ruling (§5, still
open), and nothing is licensed while it is unmade: the ledger is absent and
`core proposal-queue reseal` refuses to grant a license without
--allow-new-licenses.
[Verification]: in-worktree on canonical CPython 3.12.13 with `uv sync --locked`:
smoke 621 (unchanged), and 335 passed across test_adr_status_governance.py /
test_adr_index.py / test_volume_honesty.py. Status parses as "Accepted …" under
the governance regex and the banned `ratify-on-merge` predicate is absent. No
flag moved; no code changed.
Every correction here is to something I wrote earlier in this arc. Original text
is preserved in place; nothing was rewritten to look right in hindsight.
ADR-0264 §4.2 — CORRECTED block. I sized the eleven band ceilings from per-TERM
exclusivity; `resolve_domain`'s predicate is per-PAIR, which is looser, so every
ceiling was understated and one verdict was wrong: systems_software_causal is
720, not 630, i.e. reachable rather than impossible. Seven of eleven bands
cannot reach 657, not eight. Downstream conclusions survive — physics·modal (480)
is still impossible and philosophy_theology·modal is still the target.
ADR-0264 R5 + DIVISION-OF-WORK ×2 + compile_premises docstring — the
"verdict-identical" claim is exact only where the full family was READABLE. Over
MAX_PREMISE_SENTENCES, full-family compilation refuses outright, so narrowing is
verdict-IMPROVING there. Read literally the unqualified phrasing implies a
17-chain family keeps declining, which is backwards — the opposite of the
unblock.
E2 rename staleness, 4 sites: ADR-0256 (Accepted) named
`gold.py::assert_corpus_sound`, which #119 deleted; the plan's E2 item and
DIVISION-OF-WORK's §2 row, §4 heading and "renaming after that is strictly more
work" reasoning were all still written as pending.
DIVISION-OF-WORK §0b — new status table: which PR each unit is, what stacks on
what, and the four things the units found that the plan did not predict.
Adds the arc-close brief from ARC-CLOSE-TEMPLATE.md. Its §3 (falsified
assumptions) is the section that cannot be recovered from the diff: nine
entries, five of them corrections to my own claims. Records that the
articulation trigger is not merely unmet but STRUCTURALLY unmeetable — the
previous arc left it unrecorded, which is what kept it re-triggerable — and
names four pieces of stale reasoning still in the tree, with files, since that
is the class of staleness nobody greps for.
[Verification]: in-worktree on canonical CPython 3.12.13 with `uv sync
--locked`: smoke 569, deductive 291 — both baseline, since the only non-doc
change is one docstring.
Phase B of the curriculum-license-loop arc. Stacked on the ADR-0264 branch.
The invariant: conservative_floor is a one-sided Wilson lower bound and Wilson
assumes INDEPENDENT trials. CORE's pipeline is deterministic, so replaying an
identical case is not a second trial -- it is the same trial with a guaranteed
outcome. A ledger's `committed` count is an upper bound on its evidence; the
defensible figure is its distinct-decision count.
Phase B was scoped as a precaution for a curriculum producer that does not
exist yet. Running the instrument against the producers that DO exist found it
already violated:
21 of the 25 ratified deduction_serve bands do not clear theta_SERVE=0.99 on
distinct evidence. Three inflate 28 distinct cases into 720 committed
(honest floor 0.8084 vs claimed 0.9909). deduction_serving_enabled was
ratified ON 2026-07-24 and is live.
The estimation producer (ADR-0175) is clean -- 660 committed, 660 distinct,
zero repeats, evidently chosen just above the 657 a perfect record needs. So
this is a regression from a standard already established in the repo, not an
architectural gap. `claimed` is identical for all 25 deduction bands because
every band commits 720 with a perfect record: the gate sees 25
indistinguishable passes while honest floors span 0.8084..0.9909.
NOT REPAIRED. The ledger is SHA-sealed, ratified, and gating a live flag, so
re-sealing it is Shay's ratification, not a test's. wrong=0 still holds -- no
band answered anything incorrectly. What is not established is reliability at
the volume claimed. Measured, pinned in both directions, written down.
Added:
- core/reliability_gate/evidence.py -- pure measurement, imported by no serving
path. volume_for_theta() DERIVES 657 from conservative_floor rather than
restating it, so a WILSON_Z change cannot leave a stale literal behind.
- tests/test_volume_honesty.py -- 13 tests. AUDIT_SOURCES is checked against
CAPABILITY_LEDGERS, so a new licensed capability cannot ship unaudited; the
curriculum entry is a declared None that fails the moment its ledger exists.
That is Phase C's forcing function against repeating the pattern.
- docs/research/distinct-evidence-audit-2026-07-25.md -- full audit + the open
outcome-mix ruling for Shay.
- ADR-0264 R9 amended with the measured exposure.
Decision key is case TEXT deliberately: a tighter key (normalized atom) would
collapse spelling variants and report MORE inflation, so text-identity
under-reports and every number is a floor on the real gap.
Outcome mix is deliberately NOT pinned. ClassTally has no verdict axis, the
deduction producer already balances 240/240/240 by construction, and imposing
a per-verdict-class floor would retroactively fail all 25 bands on a criterion
no ADR has ratified (smallest per-band class count is 120). Recorded for a
ruling with numbers instead.
[Verification]: uv sync --locked on canonical CPython 3.12.13; in-worktree
smoke 569 passed (556 baseline + 13), deductive 285 passed. Registered in the
`smoke` curated suite -- not left to `full`, which gates nothing. Mutation-
checked: doubling CASES_PER_BAND -> 2 failed; reporting committed as distinct
-> 4 failed; gating on `claimed` instead of `honest` -> 3 failed; tree restores
to 13 passed.
Phase A of the curriculum-license-loop arc. Design only; no production code,
no flag, no default changed.
Rules R1-R9: polarity is a row-level field (absent => affirmative), negatives
compile to the sentential-not form and MUST reuse the affirmative connective
(atom identity), contradiction is rejected at ratification, premise
compilation becomes query-scoped, an empty scope is UNKNOWN, premise_count
keeps reporting family size, the oracle learns polarity independently, and a
band's honest ceiling must be reported before anyone authors for it.
Three findings, each measured in-tree and each reversing something:
1. `polarity` is read by nothing. A row authored to refute a question today
serves a confident wrong "Yes" -- and the independent oracle ignores the
field for the same reason, so gold agrees and wrong=0 stays green. This is
the silent-failure class Phase A existed to prevent, now demonstrated.
2. The 16-premise honesty cap holds a family to <=16 chains; at 17 the band
declines everything, including the taught positive that works today. So
ADR-0262 §5.1's own remedy (author ~219 relations) destroys the capability
at row 17, tripping the fix §6 deferred as a future contingency. Jointly:
a band has <=16 entailed cases against a 657-committed threshold, so no
curriculum band can earn SERVE until scoping lands. The blocker is
engineering, not content -- inverting the conclusion two arcs closed on.
3. Honest volume is bounded by taught vocabulary, not corpus size. 8 of 11
bands cannot reach 657 at all, including the plan's chosen first target
physics·modal (ceiling 480, counting every possible question). Retargets
Phase F to philosophy_theology·modal (ceiling 44,104, same 8-chain start).
R5 is the only rule that could change an existing answer, so it is the only
one carrying evidence: 8,520 routable questions, 0 verdict mismatches for both
candidate scopes. Verdict-identity holds for any scope that is a superset of
the query-atom rows, since each premise mints one independent atom. That is
stronger than ADR-0262 §6's soundness argument, and it is why this narrowing
is not the ADR-0261 §5.1 premise-dropping failure.
ADR-0262 §5.1/§5.2/§6 carry forward-pointers; original text preserved.
[Verification]: uv sync --locked on canonical CPython 3.12.13; in-worktree
`core test --suite smoke -q` 556 passed (555 baseline + 1: the derived
ratify-on-merge pin picked up ADR-0264 and discharged it), `--suite
deductive -q` 285 passed. Four probes reproducible from
docs/research/curriculum-premise-scope-2026-07-25.md; the corpus-mutating one
restores the file and asserts byte-identity.
Shay