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Author SHA1 Message Date
Shay
075169c33c feat(evals): v2 lanes — monotonic-learning + provenance
monotonic-learning v2:
  public/v2  — 5 domains × 3-4 probes × 20 cycles (377 ops)
                domains: truth, light, wisdom, order, memory
                max_regression=0.0, floor_score=1.0
  holdouts/v2 — 4 distinct domains × 3-4 probes × 18 cycles (284 ops)
                domains: creation, knowledge, reason, spirit
                max_regression=0.0, floor_score=1.0

  Demonstrates the structural claim (zero regression on prior domains
  as new ones accumulate) at substantially deeper cycle count and
  broader domain breadth than v1.

provenance v2:
  public/v2  — 30 cases across pack_axiom, vault_recall, teaching, mixed
                deeper priming (3-5 turns), mixed-kind cases combining
                pack + vault + teaching sources in one probe
                source_attribution=1.0, source_validity=1.0,
                replay_determinism=1.0, input_sensitivity=1.0
  holdouts/v2 — 20 cases on distinct vocabulary
                all sub-metrics 1.0

Generator: scripts/generate_monotonic_cases.py extended with three
extra domain probe sets (order, memory, reason, spirit) and split
definitions for v2.
2026-05-16 13:03:28 -07:00
Shay
c4f056c44c feat(evals): frontier structural-zero baselines for Phase 2 v1 lanes
Records the architectural floor for frontier-LLM performance on each
Phase 2 v1 lane.

The baseline is structural: every lane's scoring rubric measures a
property that frontier LLMs do not architecturally emit (Provenance
typed sources, pack_mutation_proposal, vault_hits, REJECTED_IDENTITY
outcome, deterministic trace_hash). The frontier score on each of
those sub-metrics is 0.0 by construction, not by failure — even a
live-API run would still record 0.0 on these typed-signal checks
because the evidence is absent regardless of prose quality.

Artifacts:
  docs/frontier_baselines.md
    Full per-lane analysis: what each sub-metric scores, why the
    frontier value is 0, and where a live-API baseline would or
    would not add information.

  evals/<lane>/baselines/v1_structural_zero.json (× 5)
    Per-lane baseline records in the same shape as lane reports.
    Encodes 0.0 / None on each sub-metric with rationale.

  evals/baseline_runner.py
    Adds StructuralZeroBaseline adapter conforming to the
    BaselineModel protocol — a real, non-stub adapter that returns
    the deterministic floor. Live-API adapters (Anthropic, OpenAI)
    can be wired alongside when API keys are configured; the
    structural floor remains the comparison baseline.

Across 5 lanes / 14 typed-signal sub-metrics:
  CORE v1:            1.0 (each)
  frontier structural: 0.0 (each)

The gap is "CORE measures a property frontier output does not
expose", not "CORE outperforms on a shared benchmark". v2 lanes may
add content-level sub-metrics where direct comparison via live-API
runs becomes meaningful.
2026-05-16 12:45:28 -07:00
Shay
632a69db40 feat(evals): monotonic-learning lane v1 — no regression across cycles
Phase 2's second lane: after N teaching cycles in unrelated domains,
competence on previously-taught domains must not regress. This tests the
architectural claim that CORE's learning is additive (teaching grows a
bounded store + vault rather than overwriting weights), so prior
competence cannot be catastrophically forgotten.

Protocol per split:
  cycle 0:      probe all domains (baseline)
  cycle 1..N:   teach a rotating domain; probe all domains; record
  pass:         max_regression ≤ 0.05, floor_score ≥ 0.80, cycle_count ≥ 10

Components:
- evals/monotonic_learning/{contract.md, runner.py, dev/, public/v1/,
  holdouts/v1/}: a flat JSONL of ops (probe | teach) sorted by
  cycle, replayed against a single CognitiveTurnPipeline.
- scripts/generate_monotonic_cases.py: regenerates the cycle/probe
  corpora deterministically per split.

Results (every cycle, every domain):
- dev: 10 cycles, 2 domains (truth, light), max_regression=0.00,
  floor_score=1.00.
- public/v1: 12 cycles, 3 domains (truth, light, wisdom),
  max_regression=0.00, floor_score=1.00.
- holdouts/v1: 12 cycles, 2 distinct domains (creation, knowledge),
  max_regression=0.00, floor_score=1.00.

Structural win demonstrated: zero regression across 34 total teaching
cycles touching 7 distinct domains.

PROGRESS.md updated to mark monotonic-learning v1 complete.
2026-05-16 11:56:34 -07:00