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Shay
4f473a5aa8 docs: ADR-0121 — mathematics_logic expert promotion DEFERRED (first attempt)
First worked attempt at promoting a domain under the ADR-0120
expert promotion contract. The contract refuses honestly.

Gate evaluation against live state:
  ADR-0114a obligations: 10 of 10 pass
  ADR-0120 contract-level gates:
    audit_passed_holds         ✓
    correct_rate (public)      ✓  150/150 = 1.0
    correct_rate (sealed)      ✗  0/1319 = 0.0 < 0.60 floor
    signed_expert_claim        ✗  (no entry, downstream of correct_rate)

Decision: mathematics_logic NOT promoted; stays at audit-passed.
Substantive blocker: parser grammar covers 0/1319 of real GSM8K.

What this proves
  - The contract is genuinely falsifiable. ADR-0120 §"Threshold
    rationale" deliberately set the floor above current measurement
    so the first attempt would defer honestly. Same load-bearing
    pattern as ADR-0107 → ADR-0110 for audit-passed.
  - Wrong-zero discipline holds against real GSM8K (the load-
    bearing positive claim). CORE refuses every problem outside
    its grammar without confabulating on a single one.

What unlocks the promotion
  Multi-ADR parser-expansion arc lifting sealed-GSM8K correct_rate
  from 0.0 to ≥ 0.60. Each construction class (rate/comparison/
  percentage/time-modal/etc.) ships as its own scoped ADR with:
    - parser+solver+verifier+realizer extensions
    - re-measurement on sealed holdout
    - ADR-0118a OOD re-measurement (no surface-feature regression)
    - ADR-0125 perturbation re-measurement (no invariance regression)
    - ADR-0119.5 adversarial re-measurement (no new misparses)
  Honest-fitting discipline: every lift is graded on the anti-
  overfit obligations BEFORE the correct_rate change counts.

Tests: 6/6 with CORE_HOLDOUT_KEY; 4/6 + 2 skipped without (matches
ADR-0119.7 seal discipline).

This deferral demonstrates the expert tier's promotion machinery
is load-bearing — the gate has refused at least once before any
domain reaches it.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-22 20:31:06 -07:00