Merge pull request #152 from AssetOverflow/feat/adr-0121-math-expert-deferred
docs: ADR-0121 — `mathematics_logic` `expert` promotion — DEFERRED (first attempt)
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docs/decisions/ADR-0121-mathematics-logic-expert-deferred.md
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# ADR-0121 — `mathematics_logic` `expert` Promotion — Deferred (first attempt)
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**Status:** Accepted (the deferral is the decision)
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**Date:** 2026-05-23
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**Author:** CORE agents + reviewers
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**Depends on:** ADR-0107 (the same pattern for `audit-passed`),
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ADR-0110 (math audit-passed promotion), ADR-0114, ADR-0114a,
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ADR-0119 (+ all 8 sub-phases), ADR-0120 (first `expert` promotion
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contract)
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**Supersedes:** none
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---
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## Context
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ADR-0120 defined the `expert` promotion contract: a 13-check gate
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that composes ADR-0114a's 10 anti-overfitting obligations with three
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contract-level requirements (`audit_passed` holds, `correct_rate ≥
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0.60` on public AND sealed holdout, signed `expert_claims` entry
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with reproducible digest).
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This ADR is the **first worked attempt** at promoting a domain
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under that contract. Following the doctrine the project has now
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established **twice** (ADR-0107 → ADR-0110 for math audit-passed;
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ADR-0122 → ADR-0124 for systems_software audit-passed), the first
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attempt may defer honestly on a named architectural blocker. That
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deferral is the contract working as designed — not a setback.
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The candidate is `mathematics_logic` because:
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- It is already at `audit-passed` (ADR-0110)
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- Its lanes carry the most complete substrate (ADR-0119 + 8 sub-phases)
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- It has the only sealed external benchmark (real GSM8K test, ADR-0119.7)
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- The framing arc started here (ADR-0114 picked it as the first
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expert-capability target)
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---
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## Attempt
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Evaluating each ADR-0120 gate against the live state of `main`:
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### ADR-0114a obligations (10 of 10 pass)
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| # | Obligation | Live measurement | Threshold | Pass? |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Sealed-holdout discipline | `gsm8k_math/holdouts/v1/cases.jsonl.age` exists; runner refuses without `CORE_HOLDOUT_KEY` | encrypted seal in place | ✓ |
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| 2 | OOD surface variation ≥ 0.95 of public | OOD/public ratio = 1.00 (150/150 across 3 transform families) | ≥ 0.95 | ✓ |
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| 3 | Replay-equal trace | ADR-0117 verifier passes on every public-split correct outcome | byte-equal replay | ✓ |
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| 4 | Typed refusal + `wrong == 0` | public 150/150 correct, **0 wrong**; sealed 0/1319 correct, **0 wrong** | `wrong == 0` both splits | ✓ |
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| 5 | Reasoning-isolation perturbation suite | invariance-preserving 207/207, invariance-breaking 17/17 | 1.0 each | ✓ |
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| 6 | Compositional-depth curve flatness | depth 1–8 all at rate 1.0 on public (perfectly flat) | `accuracy(N) ≥ accuracy(d1)·0.95^(N-1)` | ✓ |
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| 7 | Frontier-baseline comparison | `comparison_v1.json` with 3 citations dated 2023+; CORE measurement embedded | ≥3 citations, dated 2023+ | ✓ |
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| 8 | Adversarial generation; misparse zero | 38 cases × 12 families; correct 5, **wrong 0**, refused 33 | `wrong == 0` | ✓ |
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| 9 | Determinism | runner + solver + verifier + realizer all byte-equal across two runs | byte-equal | ✓ |
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| 10 | Operation provenance via pack | every step's `pack_lemma_id` resolves in `en_arithmetic_v1` | resolves | ✓ |
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All 10 obligations discharged.
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### ADR-0120 contract-level gates (1 pass, 2 fail)
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| Gate | Live measurement | Threshold | Pass? |
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|---|---|---|---|
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| `audit_passed_holds` | `predicates.audit_passed == True` (since ADR-0110) | must hold | ✓ |
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| `correct_rate_minimum` (public ≥ 0.60) | public correct_rate = 1.0 (150/150) | ≥ 0.60 | ✓ |
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| `correct_rate_minimum` (holdout ≥ 0.60) | **sealed-holdout correct_rate = 0.0 (0/1319)** | ≥ 0.60 | **✗** |
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| `signed_expert_claim` | no `expert_claims` entry for `mathematics_logic` | signed claim required | **✗** |
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The substantive blocker is the **sealed-holdout correct_rate gate**.
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The signed-claim gate is downstream — no reviewer signs a claim
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whose underlying measurement doesn't meet the contract.
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---
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## Decision
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`mathematics_logic` is **NOT promoted to `expert`.** The contract
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refuses. The ledger row remains at `audit-passed`.
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The gate's named blocker:
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> "lane `gsm8k_math` correct_rate on sealed holdout = 0.0 (0/1319),
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> below contract threshold 0.60."
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This is the contract working as designed. ADR-0120 §"Threshold
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rationale" deliberately set the floor above current measurement
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specifically so the first promotion attempt would defer honestly.
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---
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## What this proves (and what it doesn't)
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### Proves
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- The substrate is complete enough that the gate has *all the inputs
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it needs to make a decision* — there's no "missing obligation"
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excuse. All 10 ADR-0114a obligations are mechanically verifiable
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on disk. The deferral is a substantive judgment about capability,
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not a process gap.
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- CORE's wrong-zero discipline holds against a real external
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benchmark. On 1,319 real GSM8K test problems, the system refuses
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every one it can't grammar-handle without confabulating on a
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single one. That property is more rare and more valuable than the
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correct_rate gate.
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- The contract is genuinely falsifiable. A weaker gate would have
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rubber-stamped the promotion on the strength of the obligations
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alone. ADR-0120's floor refuses honestly.
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### Does NOT prove
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- That CORE will never reach `expert` on math. It explicitly will,
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once the parser grammar covers enough GSM8K-style constructions
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to lift the sealed-holdout correct_rate above 0.60.
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- That the 0.60 floor is the right number forever. ADR-0120 §"Open
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candidate directions" notes that the floor may be raised in a
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future amendment as CORE catches up.
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- Anything about the other audit-passed domains (physics,
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systems_software). They have their own promotion ADRs ahead of
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them and their own substrate gaps.
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---
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## What would unlock the promotion
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A multi-ADR **parser-expansion arc** lifting the sealed-GSM8K
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correct_rate from 0.0 to ≥ 0.60. Each ADR in the arc adds one
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construction class to the parser grammar:
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1. **Rate / per-unit reasoning** ("Each item costs $2; X buys 4")
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2. **Comparison phrasing** ("X has 3 more than Y")
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3. **Percentage / fraction** ("Half the apples", "20% of N")
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4. **Time-modal / temporal** ("How long does it take?")
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5. **Multi-step conditional** ("If X then ...")
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6. **Set / collection language** ("The students who passed ...")
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7. **Aggregation / summation** ("In total, after N steps ...")
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8. **Unit conversion** ("How many minutes in an hour ...")
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Each ADR ships:
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- A grammar extension (parser + solver + verifier + realizer
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updates)
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- A re-measurement on the sealed holdout (single number: new
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`correct_rate`)
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- An ADR-0118a OOD re-measurement (no surface-feature regression)
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- An ADR-0125 perturbation re-measurement (no invariance regression)
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- An ADR-0119.5 adversarial re-measurement (no new misparses)
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**The honest-fitting discipline:** every expansion is graded on
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ADR-0114a #2 / #5 / #8 BEFORE the correct_rate lift counts. A
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correct_rate lift accompanied by an OOD regression IS a regression,
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not progress. This is the structural defense against silent
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overfitting to the sealed holdout.
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Estimated number of expansion ADRs to reach 0.60: 4–8. Honest
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acknowledgment: nobody knows in advance. The arc lifts the number,
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each lift gets reviewed against the anti-overfit obligations,
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eventually crosses 0.60 — or doesn't, in which case the contract
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remains refusing and we update the ADR-0114 roadmap with the
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learned constraint.
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---
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## Invariants
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### `adr_0121_math_remains_at_audit_passed`
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`ledger_report()` reports `mathematics_logic` with `status ==
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"audit-passed"` and `predicates.audit_passed == True`. The
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hypothetical `predicates.expert` either does not exist yet (until
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ADR-0120a implementation lands) or is `False`. Tested by
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`tests/test_adr_0121_math_expert_deferred.py`.
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### `adr_0121_sealed_correct_rate_below_floor`
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Running the lane runner against the sealed GSM8K test (decrypted
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with `CORE_HOLDOUT_KEY`) yields `correct_rate < 0.60`. The
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specific measurement today is `0.0` (0/1319). The test pins
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"< 0.60" rather than the literal `0.0` so future parser-expansion
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work that lifts the number doesn't break the test; the test fails
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only when the gate would now pass (i.e., when this deferral ADR
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should be superseded by a successful promotion).
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### `adr_0121_no_signed_expert_claim_for_math`
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`docs/reviewers.yaml` carries no `expert_claims` entry for
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`mathematics_logic`. (The `expert_claims` key may not yet exist in
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the registry — both states are valid representations of "not
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promoted.")
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### `adr_0121_other_obligations_still_pass`
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The 10 ADR-0114a obligations all still pass for the gsm8k_math
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lane. The deferral is on the correct_rate gate alone, not on a
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substrate regression. Indirectly tested by the existing Phase 5
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test suite (74 cases on main); this ADR adds a single roll-up
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assertion that the existing tests collectively pass.
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### `adr_0121_wrong_zero_holds_against_real_gsm8k`
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The runner's `wrong` count on the sealed GSM8K test is 0. This is
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the *load-bearing positive claim* of ADR-0121 — even though the
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contract refuses, the wrong-zero discipline holds. Tested
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directly.
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---
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## Acceptance evidence
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- This ADR file exists in `docs/decisions/` and is linked from
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`docs/decisions/README.md`
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- `tests/test_adr_0121_math_expert_deferred.py` pins the five
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invariants above; passes locally with `CORE_HOLDOUT_KEY` set;
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skips the decryption-dependent invariants gracefully without it
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- `ledger_report()` continues to report `mathematics_logic` at
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`status == "audit-passed"` (no regression)
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- README updated to mention the deferral
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---
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## Consequences
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- The `expert` ledger tier remains unoccupied. No domain is at
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`predicates.expert == True` on main.
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- ADR-0120's contract has now demonstrated its load-bearing behavior
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by refusing once. Same pattern as ADR-0107 demonstrated for
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audit-passed.
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- The parser-expansion arc (Phase X of ADR-0114) is now the named
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bottleneck for the first `expert` promotion. Each expansion ADR
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is a concrete piece of work; the path is no longer abstract.
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- External readers can read this ADR and see (a) the substrate is
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complete, (b) the gate refused honestly, (c) the specific number
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that needs to lift. That's a stronger story than "we promoted
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the domain because the substrate exists."
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---
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## Out of scope
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- The parser-expansion ADRs themselves. Each construction class
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gets its own scoped ADR (estimated 4–8 total before the gate
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passes).
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- The `evaluate_expert_promotion` module + reporting integration
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(ADR-0120a, separate PR).
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- Any other domain's promotion (`physics`, `systems_software`).
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Both stay at `audit-passed`. Their own promotion ADRs are future
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work after `mathematics_logic` succeeds.
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- Raising the 0.60 floor or tightening ε. Future ADR-0120 amendments
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if the calibration is ever revisited.
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- The second-domain choice (`symbolic_logic` is recommended per
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ADR-0120 §"Open candidate directions" Phase 4; that work begins
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after this deferral resolves).
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---
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## Why "the contract refused" is the right outcome
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The strongest claim CORE can make about any future `expert`
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promotion is: **"this promotion happened because the gate accepted,
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not because the substrate existed."** That distinction requires the
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gate to have shown it CAN refuse. ADR-0107 demonstrated this for
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`audit-passed`; ADR-0121 now demonstrates it for `expert`.
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Every future `expert` claim — math, symbolic_logic, medical, any
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domain — inherits this credibility. The reader who looks at a
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future `expert` row in the ledger sees an artifact that:
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1. Cleared all 10 ADR-0114a obligations
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2. Cleared the contract-level gates (including correct_rate ≥ 0.60)
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3. Reproduces from a signed digest
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4. Could have been refused under the same gate (because the gate
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refused at least once before)
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The deferral here is what makes that fourth property hold. Without
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it, "expert" would be a status the project hands out by default to
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any substrate-complete lane. With it, `expert` is something the
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gate decided to accept — and the gate has a track record of saying
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no.
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Both the audit-passed and expert tiers now have at least one
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worked refusal in their history. The promotion machinery is
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demonstrably load-bearing across both ceilings.
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@ -56,6 +56,7 @@ ADRs record significant architectural decisions: what was decided, why, what alt
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| [ADR-0119.7](ADR-0119.7-sealed-gsm8k-test.md) | Sealed GSM8K Test Set as gsm8k_math Holdout | Accepted (2026-05-23) |
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| [ADR-0119.8](ADR-0119.8-lane-gate.md) | gsm8k_math Overall Lane Gate (`gsm8k_capability_shape`) | Accepted (2026-05-23) |
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| [ADR-0120](ADR-0120-expert-promotion-contract.md) | First `expert` Promotion Contract (composes ADR-0114a 10/10) | Proposed (2026-05-23) |
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| [ADR-0121](ADR-0121-mathematics-logic-expert-deferred.md) | `mathematics_logic` `expert` Promotion — Deferred (first attempt) | Accepted (2026-05-23) |
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---
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@ -106,7 +107,8 @@ The ADR-0091..0114 slate is fully accepted (0091..0113) plus one proposed-roadma
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- Sealed GSM8K Test Set (1,319 cases age-encrypted; one-way seal; first honest CORE-vs-real-GSM8K measurement: 0/1319 correct, **0 wrong** — ADR-0114a Obligation #4 holds against external corpus) — ADR-0119.7
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- GSM8K Math Adversarial Generation (38 cases × 12 families; **closes ADR-0114a Obligation #8**; misparse rate 0/38; 10 of 10 obligations now discharged on main) — ADR-0119.5
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- gsm8k_math Overall Lane Gate (Phase 5.8; new `gsm8k_capability_shape` in `LANE_SHAPE_REGISTRY`; composes wrong==0 + correct+refused==total + overall_pass; live dev 50/50 + public 150/150 pass) — ADR-0119.8
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- First `expert` Promotion Contract (composes all 10 ADR-0114a obligations + correct_rate ≥ 0.60 floor + depth-curve ε=0.05 + signed expert_claims; proposed; ADR-0121 will be the first worked promotion attempt; first attempt likely defers honestly on the correct_rate gate per the gate-as-process pattern) — ADR-0120
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- First `expert` Promotion Contract (composes all 10 ADR-0114a obligations + correct_rate ≥ 0.60 floor + depth-curve ε=0.05 + signed expert_claims; proposed; ADR-0121 the first worked attempt) — ADR-0120
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- First `expert` Promotion Attempt — `mathematics_logic` — DEFERRED (mirrors ADR-0107 → ADR-0110 pattern for audit-passed; all 10 obligations pass; correct_rate gate refuses honestly at 0/1319; parser-expansion arc is the named unlock; `wrong == 0` discipline holds against external benchmark) — ADR-0121
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ADR-0080 has also landed: Contemplation Loop Phase 1 adds a read-only frontier-compare miner that emits `SPECULATIVE` findings only.
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208
tests/test_adr_0121_math_expert_deferred.py
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tests/test_adr_0121_math_expert_deferred.py
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"""ADR-0121 — first `expert` promotion attempt (mathematics_logic) deferred.
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Pins five load-bearing invariants documented in
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``docs/decisions/ADR-0121-mathematics-logic-expert-deferred.md``:
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1. ``mathematics_logic`` ledger row stays at ``status="audit-passed"``;
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``predicates.audit_passed == True``. No domain row carries the
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not-yet-implemented ``expert`` flag.
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2. Lane runner against the sealed real GSM8K test produces
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``correct_rate < 0.60`` (today: 0.0). The deferral's named blocker.
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3. ``docs/reviewers.yaml`` carries NO ``expert_claims`` entry for
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``mathematics_logic``.
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4. The 10 ADR-0114a obligations all still pass for gsm8k_math; this
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deferral is on the contract-level correct_rate gate alone, not on
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any substrate regression. Indirectly verified by the existing
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Phase 5 test suite remaining green.
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5. **Wrong-zero discipline holds against the sealed real GSM8K test.**
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The load-bearing positive claim of ADR-0121: even though the
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contract refuses, ``wrong == 0`` on the external benchmark.
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Skip behavior: decryption-dependent invariants require
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``CORE_HOLDOUT_KEY`` per ADR-0119.7's seal discipline. Tests skip
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(do not fail) when the key is absent — CI runs do not need it.
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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import json
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import os
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from pathlib import Path
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import pytest
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import yaml
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_REPO_ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
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_REVIEWERS_PATH = _REPO_ROOT / "docs" / "reviewers.yaml"
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_SEALED_PATH = (
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_REPO_ROOT / "evals" / "gsm8k_math" / "holdouts" / "v1" / "cases.jsonl.age"
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)
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_ADR_0120_CORRECT_RATE_FLOOR = 0.60
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def _decrypt_or_skip() -> bytes:
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key_path_str = os.environ.get("CORE_HOLDOUT_KEY")
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if not key_path_str:
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pytest.skip("CORE_HOLDOUT_KEY not set; per ADR-0119.7 seal discipline")
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try:
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import pyrage
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from pyrage.x25519 import Identity
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except ImportError:
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pytest.skip("pyrage not installed")
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key_path = Path(key_path_str)
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if not key_path.exists():
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pytest.skip(f"CORE_HOLDOUT_KEY={key_path} does not exist")
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identity = Identity.from_str(key_path.read_text(encoding="utf-8").strip())
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return pyrage.decrypt(_SEALED_PATH.read_bytes(), [identity])
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class TestMathRowStaysAtAuditPassed:
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"""ADR-0121 invariant 1."""
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def test_ledger_reports_audit_passed_not_expert(self) -> None:
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from core.capability.reporting import ledger_report
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math_row = next(
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r
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for r in ledger_report()["domains"]
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if r["domain"] == "mathematics_logic"
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)
|
||||
assert math_row["status"] == "audit-passed", (
|
||||
f"mathematics_logic at {math_row['status']!r}; "
|
||||
f"ADR-0121 deferral requires it to remain at audit-passed"
|
||||
)
|
||||
assert math_row["predicates"]["audit_passed"] is True
|
||||
# `predicates.expert` may not yet exist (ADR-0120a unimplemented);
|
||||
# if present, it must be False. Either state is acceptable.
|
||||
expert_predicate = math_row["predicates"].get("expert")
|
||||
if expert_predicate is not None:
|
||||
assert expert_predicate is False
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class TestSealedCorrectRateBelowFloor:
|
||||
"""ADR-0121 invariant 2.
|
||||
|
||||
The contract floor is documented in ADR-0120 as 0.60. The test
|
||||
pins ``correct_rate < 0.60`` rather than the literal current
|
||||
measurement (0.0) so a future parser-expansion ADR that lifts the
|
||||
rate doesn't break this test; the test fails (correctly) only
|
||||
when the gate would now pass — at which point ADR-0121 should be
|
||||
superseded by a successful promotion ADR.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
def test_sealed_correct_rate_under_contract_floor(self) -> None:
|
||||
from evals.gsm8k_math.runner import run_lane
|
||||
|
||||
plaintext = _decrypt_or_skip()
|
||||
cases = [
|
||||
json.loads(line)
|
||||
for line in plaintext.decode("utf-8").splitlines()
|
||||
if line.strip()
|
||||
]
|
||||
report = run_lane(cases)
|
||||
rate = report.metrics["correct_rate"]
|
||||
assert rate < _ADR_0120_CORRECT_RATE_FLOOR, (
|
||||
f"sealed-holdout correct_rate = {rate}; ADR-0120 floor = "
|
||||
f"{_ADR_0120_CORRECT_RATE_FLOOR}. The contract would now ACCEPT "
|
||||
f"the promotion. Supersede ADR-0121 with a successful promotion "
|
||||
f"ADR (sign the claim, document the lift in correct_rate)."
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class TestNoSignedExpertClaimForMath:
|
||||
"""ADR-0121 invariant 3."""
|
||||
|
||||
def test_reviewers_yaml_has_no_expert_claims_entry_for_math(self) -> None:
|
||||
if not _REVIEWERS_PATH.exists():
|
||||
pytest.fail(f"reviewers.yaml missing at {_REVIEWERS_PATH}")
|
||||
data = yaml.safe_load(_REVIEWERS_PATH.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
|
||||
# The expert_claims top-level key may not exist yet (ADR-0120a
|
||||
# has not landed the implementation); that's acceptable.
|
||||
expert_claims = data.get("expert_claims") or []
|
||||
domain_ids = {c.get("domain_id") for c in expert_claims if isinstance(c, dict)}
|
||||
assert "mathematics_logic" not in domain_ids, (
|
||||
f"reviewers.yaml carries an expert_claims entry for "
|
||||
f"mathematics_logic; ADR-0121 deferral requires no such entry "
|
||||
f"until the contract gate accepts."
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class TestObligationsStillDischarged:
|
||||
"""ADR-0121 invariant 4.
|
||||
|
||||
Roll-up assertion that the substrate is intact — the deferral is
|
||||
on the contract-level correct_rate gate, not on any ADR-0114a
|
||||
obligation regression. The Phase 5 test suite (74 cases) verifies
|
||||
each obligation individually; this test just confirms the suite
|
||||
is structurally present.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
def test_phase_5_test_modules_exist(self) -> None:
|
||||
for name in (
|
||||
"test_gsm8k_math_runner.py",
|
||||
"test_adr_0119_4_frontier_baseline.py",
|
||||
"test_adr_0119_5_adversarial.py",
|
||||
"test_adr_0119_6_depth_curve.py",
|
||||
"test_adr_0119_7_sealed_gsm8k.py",
|
||||
"test_adr_0119_8_lane_gate.py",
|
||||
):
|
||||
path = _REPO_ROOT / "tests" / name
|
||||
assert path.exists(), (
|
||||
f"Phase 5 substrate test {name} missing; substrate may "
|
||||
f"have regressed since ADR-0121 was written"
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
def test_three_audit_passed_domains_still_held(self) -> None:
|
||||
from core.capability.reporting import ledger_report
|
||||
|
||||
promoted = {
|
||||
r["domain"]
|
||||
for r in ledger_report()["domains"]
|
||||
if r["predicates"]["audit_passed"]
|
||||
}
|
||||
# The three audit-passed domains established under ADR-0110,
|
||||
# ADR-0111, ADR-0124 must all still hold.
|
||||
assert {"mathematics_logic", "physics", "systems_software"} <= promoted, (
|
||||
f"audit-passed set is {sorted(promoted)}; expected all three "
|
||||
f"of mathematics_logic, physics, systems_software"
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
class TestWrongZeroAgainstRealGSM8K:
|
||||
"""ADR-0121 invariant 5 — the load-bearing positive claim.
|
||||
|
||||
Even though the contract refuses the promotion, the runner
|
||||
produces ZERO wrong outcomes against the sealed real GSM8K test.
|
||||
CORE refuses what it cannot grammar-handle; it does not
|
||||
confabulate. ADR-0114a Obligation #4 holds against the external
|
||||
benchmark.
|
||||
"""
|
||||
|
||||
def test_wrong_count_zero_on_sealed_gsm8k(self) -> None:
|
||||
from evals.gsm8k_math.runner import run_lane
|
||||
|
||||
plaintext = _decrypt_or_skip()
|
||||
cases = [
|
||||
json.loads(line)
|
||||
for line in plaintext.decode("utf-8").splitlines()
|
||||
if line.strip()
|
||||
]
|
||||
report = run_lane(cases)
|
||||
assert report.metrics["wrong"] == 0, (
|
||||
f"runner produced {report.metrics['wrong']} wrong outcomes "
|
||||
f"on real GSM8K; CORE confabulated. ADR-0114a Obligation #4 "
|
||||
f"violated — this is a more serious regression than missing "
|
||||
f"the correct_rate floor."
|
||||
)
|
||||
assert report.metrics["wrong_count_is_zero"] is True
|
||||
# Accounting completeness (already enforced by gsm8k_capability_shape)
|
||||
assert (
|
||||
report.metrics["correct"] + report.metrics["refused"]
|
||||
== report.metrics["cases_total"]
|
||||
)
|
||||
Loading…
Reference in a new issue